Darley July Cup Stakes Group1 6f Newmarket (July Course)

vincent obrien guruThe immortal Vincent O’Brien (pictured), won Saturday’s feature a record equalling 5 times, and his successor at Ballydoyle, the eponymous Aidan, (no relation) will be hoping that one of his contenders at the weekend can land The July Cup, enabling him to join his illustrious predecessor, with win number 5 in the event. Aidan, who won last year’s renewal with the 3yo, US Navy Flag, is mob handed at the time of writing, but his best chance of landing a fifth success would seem to lie with either, Ten Sovereigns or the filly, Fairyland.

The former, a son of the top sprinter, No Nay Never, was unbeaten in his 3 races as a 2yo and and rounded off his juvenile career with a splendid victory in Newmarket’s Group1 Middle Park Stakes. Sent off the 9/4Fav for The 2000Guineas he didn’t stay and finished 5th, 4 3/4L behind stable companion, Magna Grecia. He reverted to 6f last time for Royal Ascot’s Commonwealth Cup where he started favourite but could only finish 4th, 2 1/2L behind Saturday’s opponent Advertise. There didn’t seem to be any excuses that day, but it was the softest ground he had raced on and back on a firmer surface (won The Middle Park on Good/Firm) it could be closer between them.

The 3yo filly Fairyland (pictured below cost £925,000 as a yearling) won 4 of her 5 starts at 2, including The Marble Hill Stakes at The Curragh, York’s Group2 Lowther Stakes and Newmarket’s Group1 Chevely Park Stakes, all on Good/Firm ground over 6f. fairyland fillyShe didn’t seem to get home in either the English or Irish 1000Guineas and reverted to 5f for Royal Ascot’s King’s Stand Stakes last time. Starting at 16/1 she ran well enough to finish 5th but probably found the trip too sharp. By that strong influence for speed, Kodiac, she is out of an unraced daughter of that speedy mare, Land Of Dreams, (won Doncaster’s 5f speed test, the Group2 Flying Childers, and is the dam of the triple Group1 winning speedster, Dream Ahead) and it won’t come as the greatest surprise if  Fairyland should emulate those two outstanding 3yo Fillies, Marwell And Habibti, who landed the spoils back in the eighties.

Sir Michael Stoute is seeking his 4th win in the race and current market leader,
Dream Of Dreams must have serious prospects of providing it. michael stoute darleyThe 5yo son of
Dream Ahead has looked a much improved performer this term, landing 2 conditions races, at Chelmsford and Windsor, before putting in a career best effort last time when failing by a fast diminishing head to catch Blue Point, (now retired) in Royal Ascot’s Group1 Diamond Jubilee. Indeed he would have landed the spoils in another few strides and is definitely worth his new rating of 120, 9lbs higher than his previous best. Despite a poor performance in his only other race over the course, (10/11 nearly two years ago following a break) he will be difficult to beat.

Top handler, Roger Varian has yet to get his name on the roll of honour, but the way his son of Shamardal, Cape Byron, demolished a field of 26 handicappers to win The Wokingham at the Royal meeting last time it may not take too long. Campaigned at 7f and above, it was his first attempt at Saturday’s trip in his 13 race career, and the way he cruised into the lead a furlong out and went on to win so comfortably, connections must have been asking themselves why it had taken them so long to work out that 6f is clearly the 5yo’s trip. Saturday presents a different challenge with the step up to Group1 Class, but now that he has found his optimum distance he could well be up to it.

The Martyn Meade trained 3yo Advertise won 3 of his 5 starts at 2 including the Group1 Phoenix Stakes at The Curragh, his only defeats coming, when out stayed by Too Darn Hot over 7f in The Dewhurst, and when racing on the wrong side in The Coventry, he was beaten a length by the talented Calyx.

trainer martyn meade

Newmarket handler Meade saddles Advertise

He failed to stay in The 2000Guineas but showed that sprinting is definitely his game when comfortably landing The Commonwealth Cup last time and the son of Showcasing must have excellent prospects of maintaining the good recent record of the Classic generation,
(have won 3 of the last 4 runnings).

Despite an honourable 2nd in The Irish 1000Guineas, the filly Pretty Pollyanna, has failed to stay in her last three races, all over a mile, and she now reverts to 6f, a trip she had top class form over as a 2yo. She won Newmarket’s Group2 July Stakes over course and distance by an impressive 7L from Angel’s Hideaway, collected Deauville’s Group1 Prix Morny against the boys, and finished 4th, 1 3/4L behind Fairyland in The Chevely Park. Her excellent trainer, Michael Bell is in top form, and the daughter of Oasis Dream could get involved at a nice price.

Selection   : Dream Of Dreams

EW.             : Fairyland

John Gray

Sky Bet Ebor Handicap 1m6f York Saturday

With £500,000 on offer, (to be increased to a million next year) Saturday’s Sky Bet Ebor is Britain’s most valuable Handicap and in recent years it has also proved to be one of the most difficult to solve. To find the last successful favourite we have to go back eleven years when Luca Cumani’s Purple Gem brought home the bacon, and in that same period five of the winners have been returned at odds of 20/1 or longer. Cumani and Stoute are the only handlers to have lifted the trophy twice, and in Sir Michael’s case we have to go back to 1996 to find his second winner, so following previous winning stables hasn’t been a particularly brilliant strategy.

The great Vincent O’Brien claimed the spoils in 1958

However it’s worth noting that Irish yards, who only managed two victories prior to 2009, (Gladness, in 1958 trained by the great Vincent O’Brien, and Mediterranean in 2001 trained by his namesake Aidan) have won four of the last nine renewals, and Willie Mullins mounts a strong looking challenge this year from his County Carlow base, led by the current favourite, Stratum.

Assuming that the son of Dansili gets into the race, (at the time of writing he needs three above him in the handicap to come out) the 5yo has plenty to recommend him. A winner of 3 of his 13 races, his sole success from 9 starts for John Gosden, came in a Class 5 Windsor Maiden, but since joining the Closutton yard of Willie Mullins he has really started making hay. He won the first of his three starts over hurdles, but it is since being returned to the flat in his last two races, that he has really blossomed. An excellent 3rd/19 in the 2 1/2m Ascot Stakes at The Royal Meeting, was followed by a facile victory last time in the JLT Cup over 2m1/2f at Newbury 5weeks ago, under an excellent ride from Robert Winston off a mark of 94. Clearly improving at a rate of knots Saturday’s 8lbs rise is unlikely to be the limit of his progress and with the excellent Winston booked again connections will be very disappointed if they don’t get a run.

The Saeed bin Suroor trained, 4yo, Game Starter, has only had four races but has won three of them, giving him a very progressive profile.

Saeed Bin Suroor sends out Game Starter

His only start as a 2yo in a lowly Class 5 Redcar Maiden, resulted in a moderate 2nd but his career took off at three, winning all starts, culminating in a convincing victory over Amazing Red in a Class2 Newmarket Handicap off a mark of 100 last September. The way he won at Newmarket suggests that Saturday’s trip will suit as do entries in the Irish St Leger (14f) and The British Long Distance Cup (16f), and the main concern would be his ability to handle the demands of a 20 runner handicap around The Knavesmire. However his in form trainer has won the race before, (All The Good 2008) so knows what is required, and off his mark of 108 is worth considering.

The John Gosden trained, Weekender, has won 3 of his 9 starts, (2 on the AW) and put in an excellent effort last time when going down by a hard fought neck over course and distance to the talented Marmelo in a Listed heat. As the winner went on to win a Longchamp Group2 next time the form looks strong and despite having to shoulder the steadier of 9-12 as top weight his mark of 112 is fair and with Frankie Dettori doing the steering has to be a danger to all.

The Tom Dascombe trained Teodoro has never raced beyond 12f but the manner of his victory over that distance at Newbury in June suggests that Saturday’s trip might be within his compass.

tom dascombe trainer

Tom Dascombe’s Teodoro is fancied to go well

Tracking the leader he took it up 3f out and when asked drew clear to win readily by 6L in a decent time. He can be excused his 4th in the Old Newton Cup where he never looked comfortable in a muddling contest and last time when ridden more prominently he made all to win a Class1 Haydock Handicap, (1m2 1/2f) off a mark of 101. Only 4lbs higher at the weekend the son of Teofilo could be interesting if seeing out the trip.

The Ian Jardine trained 7yo, Nakeeta, won last year’s renewal and followed up with an honourable 5th/23 in The Melbourne Cup. All three of his starts since have been at 2m+ and none of them inspire much confidence but his handicap mark has been protected and he goes to Post on Saturday only 4lbs higher than last year and back at 1m6f it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise to see him involved.

Selection : Stratum.

Danger: Teodoro

E.W. : Nakeeta

John Gray