BoyleSports Irish Grand National (Handicap) 3m5f Fairyhouse Monday

fairyhouse grand national
With no stand out contender like Tiger Roll at Aintree, Ireland’s Grand National looks a difficult heat to solve, but there are some strong trends to help. Weight has been hugely significant with only two animals in the last two decades carrying more than
10-13, and in the same period  younger contenders have had the best of the argument, with only 3 animals older than 9 getting their head in front. Favourites have a poor record in the race, and 13 of the last 16 winners have been returned at a double digit price. Stamina is obviously important, and only one of the last 16 winners hadn’t registered a victory over at least 3 miles. Racing for 3m5f with the throttle out, demands maximum fitness, so it’s not surprising that 15 of the last 16 winners had raced within the previous two months, but interestingly, only 2 of them had won last time out. There are no multiple winning trainers represented on Monday, but Ted Walsh, who won with the 7yo Comanche Court in 2000, will be hoping that another animal of the same age, Any Second Now, can land him win number two.

fairyhouse irish grand national

The JP McManus colours should be prominent on Monday

A winner of 2 of his 4 Hurdle races, including at Grade2 level, the son of Oscar has been taken along very steadily in his chasing career, by his Uber shrewd connections , and it wasn’t until the 10th time of asking, that he got his head in front, and that was in the prestigious, and hugely competitive Kim Muir at The Cheltenham Festival last time out. Racing off a mark of 143 he took it up after the last and stayed on stoutly up the hill to win the 23 runner 3m 2f contest by 3 3/4 lengths. He actually races off a one pound lower mark in Mondays early closing event, and looks very attractively weighted
on 11-0. Bred by JP’s Missus, Noreen, I’m sure the McManus’s would like nothing more than to add to their 2 previous wins in the Irish National (Butlers Cabin 2007, Shuthefrontdoor 2014) with their home bred, Any Second Now.

Mind you, Team McManus have another interesting looking contender in the Philip Hobbs trained 7yo Novice, Jerry’s Back. A winner of an Irish PTP, he won his first two Hurdle races after joining the Somerset trainer as a 4yo, but suffered a setback and was off the course for 601 days. He won a Class4 Bangor Chase, (2m4 1/2f Soft) last December at odds of 50/1, and stepped up substantially in Class to Grade 2 level for his next 2 races, acquitted himself well, finishing 2nd on both occasions. He was sent off a not unfancied 16/1 shot for The 4miles National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham last time, and despite a very troubled passage, finished 3rd, albeit at a distance of 47 lengths. I feel that we have yet to see the best of Jerry’s Back, and if he really stays Monday’ trip, could be interesting with his nice racing weight of 10-9, and could add to the decent record of English trained runners in the race.

Jessica Harrington won 2 years ago and will be hoping to do so for a second time with her gallant Aintree runner up, Magic of Light. The 8yo races off a 2lbs lower mark giving him a racing weight of 10-13 and if fully recovered from his Aintree exertions has to be firmly in the picture.

Paddy (Dawn Run) Mullins, won the race 4 times, but surprisingly, son Willie, has yet to score. Mobhanded at the time of writing, Willie’s best chances would seem to lie with Pairofbrowneyes and Total Recall. The former was sent off the 15/2 favourite for last year’s renewal off a mark of 146, but got no further than the 5th fence. However he has been brought along quietly since, and won the valuable Leinster National, (3miles yielding to soft) 44 days ago off 146, staying on strongly at the finish, and he gets into Monday’s heat on the same mark. Last year’s mishap was his only fall in 21 races over fences, and if the son of Luso gets Monday’s trip, and the signs are positive, he will be a danger to all.

Total Recall has won 3 of his 13 starts, including the 2017 running of Newbury’s big Handicap, The Ladbroke Trophy, (was The Hennessy). Sent off the 7/1 Fav for last year’s Aintree Spectacular, he didn’t enjoy the experience and was pulled up before two out, and 11 days later was again pulled up in The Punchestown Gold Cup. However 251 days later, making his seasonal debut on New Years Day, he ran respectably to finish 2nd to subsequent Gold Cup Hero, Al Boum Photo, and 19 days later finished a decent 3rd in a Thurles Grade2, a race he might have won but for making a dreadful mistake at the last.

Winning course form is always an asset, and the Liam Cusack trained 9yo  Snugsborough Benny was quite impressive when easily landing a 3miles Fairyhouse Chase 68 days ago, running on strongly at the finish. At home in a large field of handicappers, he won a 20 runner Handicap Chase at The Galway Festival in August,(2m6 1/2f Soft) coming through the field, and staying on strongly to lead near the finish. A son of Beneficial, out of a Saddlers Hall mare, he comes from a good NH family. His full brother, the year younger Snugsborough Hall, has won his last 2 races and looked a stayer when keeping on strongly to finish 2nd over 3m2f in a Punchestown Handicap last December. One can never be sure, but the signs from Snugsborough Benny’s pedigree, and style of racing, strongly suggest that he will stay, and might even improve for Monday’s trip. On a mark of 145 he is definitely one to be interested in.

Selection. : Any Second Now
EW.            : Snugsborough Benny.      Pairofbrowneyes.

John Gray

Racing Betting Tips Irish Grand National 3m 5f Fairyhouse Easter Monday

Irish Grand National 3m5f Fairyhouse Easter Monday

Willie Mullins, (who has never won the race, although his father Paddy was three times successful), tries with his National Hunt Chase 4th Perfect Gentleman,and looks to have a serious chance.

First run in 1870 over a distance of 3m4f, the trip was increased to 3m5f in1991. Historically it had been something of a Dreaper family benefit, with the legendary Tom (trained Arkle) winning nine renewals, including with the great horse in 1964. Tom actually won the race on an unprecedented seven consecutive times between 1961 and 1966, and son Jim continued the good work with four victories, that included a hat trick between 1974 and 1976. Alas, the last time the winner was led up by a Dreaper was back in 1978, when Brown Lad won with an impost of 12st2lbs on his back.

Perhaps this unhappy state of affairs can be rectified this year by Jim’s live contender, Los Amigos. Weight has been most important, with only three winners carrying more than 11st, to victory, since the immortal Desert Orchid won with 12st on his back in 1990. Unusually for such a competitive race, relatively inexperienced animals have thrived, with none of the last ten winners having had more than a dozen runs over the larger obstacles. Indeed, counting the 6yo Garoupe in 1970, nineteen novices, including last years winner Shutthefrontdoor, have hit the back of the net. So what of this years renewal?

Willie Mullins, ( who has never won the race, although his father Paddy was three times successful ), tries with his National Hunt Chase 4th Perfect Gentleman,and looks to have a serious chance. Jumping soundly in the four mile test at Cheltenham, he took it up at the 16th, and only faded into fourth place, when not quite seeing out the trip. He enjoys a 6lbs turn around with the National Hunt Chase winner Cause of Causes, so this lightly raced 10yo, with less than 11st on his back, must have serious prospects of correcting a serious gap in the Mullins C.V.

The previously mentioned Los Amigos is Definitley one to consider. On only his third outing over fences, in last years Thystes Chase, he ran a fine race to finish runner up to the subsequent shd Gold Cup second On his Own, off a mark of 126. He then ran the useful Gallant Oscar ( rec 11lbs) to 3 1/4L when finishing 3rd at Naas (3m sft March 2014). We didn’t see him again until his reappearance at Fairyhouse at the end of January, where he proved his wellbeing, beating the 134 rated Lion Na Bearni (2m5 1/2F sft-hvy). Bred to be a stayer, Jim Dreapers Overbury gelding looks well treated off a mark of 138, and is one for the short list.

Another Lightly raced animal to be interested in is the Ted Walsh trained Champagne James. A very well backed favourite for the 3m2f Kim Muir at the Festival, he wasn’t the recipient of one of Katie Walsh’s best rides. Always behind when held up out the back, he was never in a position to challenge, but did run on through beaten horses to finish 7th. Perhaps the faster ground at Cheltenham was against him, as he does seem well suited by plenty of give, well demonstrated by his run at Naas in Febuary (2m4f sft-hvy), when despite losing a shoe, he was a closing second to Empire of Dirt,(rec 6lbs) who was rated 125. His style of racing strongly suggests that staying is his game, and given easy conditions at the weekend, he is one to consider.

Lucy Wadham’s 7yo La Reve, has won three of his twelve starts over fences, and off Monday’s Mark of 147 is likely to carry more than 11st, but still makes some appeal. He does love racing right handed, and has won five, and been placed four times, from his twelve clockwise starts, so Saturday’s track should be ideal. A reproduction of his run at Sandown at the end of January (3m1/2f sft) where he won very easily from that good yardstick Theatrical Star, would put him firmly in the mix.

Michael Hourigan’s 7yo The Job Is Right is another who may be well suited by Monday’s test. He finished third in The National Hunt Chase (5L ahead of Perfect Gentleman), where he led at the last ( normally the 2nd last) and was only run out of it in the last 100yds, finishing 3rd, (1 1/2L and 5L) behind Cause of Causes, and Broadway Buffalo. Reservations for Monday would be his very hard race at Cheltenham, and his less than fluent jumping.

Selection: Perfect Gentleman.

E.W. : Los Amigos.