Diamond Jubilee Stakes Betting Tips

The Diamond Jubilee Stakes 6f Group 1 Royal Ascot Saturday – What a good ride Adam Kirby gave Oddsguru’s selection, Profitable, in Tuesday’s King’s Stand Stakes. Always travelling supremely well within himself, the 4/1 winner was the last to come off the bridle. However Adam had to get down to some serious riding inside the final furlong as the son of Invincible Spirit had to battle hard in the testing conditions. A tearful Kirby was hugely complimentary about the horse afterwards and he could well end the season as champion sprinter. The performance of the 33/1 runner up, Cotai Glory, must have come as a pleasant surprise to trainer Charlie Hills who always thought the horse needed fast conditions, and will surely have boosted his confidence that another of his top sprinters, Magical Memory will get his head in front where it matters in Saturday’s Diamond Jubilee Stakes.

The 4yo gelding by Zebedee has won won six of his fifteen starts and has shown a most progressive profile. He won his first handicap (May 2015) off a mark of 87 and three months later saw him winning a very competitive Goodwood affair off 102. Thrown in at the deep end the following month, he ran a great race in a Group 1 at Haydock. Starting at 14/1 he belied those odds when finishing third, beaten a short head and three quarters of a length by Twilight Son and stablemate, Strath Burn. Put away for the season he made a winning reappearance in a Group 3 at Headquarters with Dettori in the plate (Gd/Sft) in April, and followed up in a Group 2 at York twenty five days later. He had his Haydock conquerer, Twilight Son, 4 1/2L back in fifth and if we can believe the form, the Hills horse has taken a major step forward over the Winter. Magical Memory can handle most conditions and with Frankie again taking the ride he looks a worthy favourite.

James Fanshawe runs his 4yo gelding, The Tin Man, and is another who has made serious progress from the ranks of handicap sprinters. Rated only 79 last July, he hosed up in a course and distance handicap off a mark of 91 in October and connections were so impressed they supplemented him for the Group1 Champions Sprint fifteen days later. They retrieved their late entry fee when he finished fourth, 3 3/4L behind the impressive winner Mukaarar. Twilight Son was 1 3/4L in front of him in second and The Tin Man does seem to have it all to do to reverse the form. However it’s worth noting that this very lightly raced animal is a half brother, (by Compton Place) to his trainers Wokingham, and Group1 Champions sprint winner (2011) Deacon Blues, and we are very unlikely to have seen the best of him yet. There was certainly plenty to like about his reappearance win at Windsor twenty four days ago when he had Strath Burn three lengths back in fourth.

Last year’s winner, the US trained 6yo gelding, Undrafted, has had a very quiet twelve months since his victory, and has clearly been trained with a repeat on the Royal stage in mind. On only his third outing since Ascot he showed his wellbeing when taking a Grade2 at Keenland (April 9th) but the concern for him must surely be the ground as all his turf victories have been gained when the word firm has been in the going description. Unless there is a dramatic improvement in conditions at the Berkshire venue he is hard to fancy.

Already a Group 1 winner, and in view of his fine second over course and distance in last years Champions Sprint, Henry Candy’s 4yo son of Kyllachy, Twilight Son has to enter calculations. His reappearance run behind Magical Memory in that Group2 at York was perfectly respectable, but the fact remains that he has 4 1/2L to find on the winner, so perhaps the Candy yard has a better chance with their other 4yo, Limato. Always held in very high regard, he was sent off the 3/1 favourite for the 1m Group1 Lockinge Stakes in May but didn’t seem to get home. He did win a slowly run Group2 7f race at Doncaster but it’s worth remembering that five of his six victories have been achieved over 6f, (including a course and distance win), so the drop back in trip may well suit. If the ground improves to good by the weekend he would be worth considering.

The prize money in Hong Kong must be phenomenal because the 7yo ex Irish gelding Gold-Fun has managed to accumulate the eye watering sum of £3,721,460 in prize money, despite never winning at the top level. However he has put in plenty of good performances in Group1s, including last time, (May 6) when finishing fourth. Trained in Ireland until 2012 where he won a maiden over the stiff mile at Naas, he may be well suited by Ascot’s testing uphill straight 6f and a reproduction of his close second, (beaten 1/2l) in a Sha-Tin Group 1 last December would make him interesting.

Selection:    Magical Memory

E.W.    :   Gold-Fun

Wokingham Handicap Betting Tips Royal Ascot 6f Saturday

Roger Charlton

Roger Charlton’s Huntsmans Close satisfies many of the criteria. This 5yo Elusive Quality gelding ran a blinder on his reappearance at Newmarket seven weeks ago.

Unfortunately our selection for The Kings Stand, Meccas Angel was withdrawn because of the fast ground, but our E.W. Suggestion, Muthmir, ran a fine race, to get within a head and a neck of the winner. Let’s hope that we can improve on this in Saturday’s cavalry charge, otherwise known as the Wokingham Stakes at Royal Ascot. Invariably run at a cracking pace ( often won in a faster time than the preceding Group1 Diamond Stakes), it takes an animal of serious potential to collect. Four or five year olds have the best recent record, winning thirteen of the last fifteen renewals. Two six year olds have obliged, Baltic King,(2006) and Dandy Boy (2012). Weight is no bar to success as six of the last ten winners have carried 9st 2lbs or more. Indeed Baltic King humped 9st 10lbs to win in 2006 four days after finishing sixth in the Kings Stand. Good recent form has been shown by nine of the last ten winners, the exception being Laddies Poker, who won landing a gamble, on his reappearance.

Roger Charlton’s Huntsmans Close satisfies many of the criteria. This 5yo Elusive Quality gelding ran a blinder on his reappearance at Newmarket seven weeks ago. Running off a mark of 94 he went down by a short head to Eastern Impact in a class2 handicap (6f Gd-fm) recording an eye catching time figure. A winner of his previous race ( Ayr 6f Gd-fm Sep14) of a mark of 87 he has clearly progressed over the winter, and must have serious prospects of defying his new rating of 98 on Saturday. One for the short list!

The French trained 6yo Robert le Diable, has been runner up in his last three races, two of them at group level. He went down by 2L to the speedy Meccas Angel over 5f in a group3 at Longchamp on May10 (Gd-sft) and three weeks later at the same venue, again in a group3, was beaten a sh hd on good ground. An ability to get 7f is a definite plus in big 6f Ascot handicaps so it would be no surprise to see this classy Gallic challenger involved at the business end at the weekend.

Mike Murphy’s 5yo gelding, Discussion to Follow, if the forecast is correct, should have a lot going for him on Saturday. Probably better suited by 6f, he won here over 5f on fast ground last July. He ran far too freely on his reappearance at Newmarket (May30 6f gd-fm) and faded into sixth place, but a reproduction of his form at the Curragh last September would bring him into the picture. He finished 3L behind Watchable, and now meets him on 9lbs better terms. He also meets his Goodwood conqueror, Intrinsic, on 5lbs better terms, and this lightly raced animal is beginning to look well handicapped, and could well have something to say at the finish.

Watchable himself, particularly in the light of Goldreams win in Tuesday’s King Stand, is likely to prove a danger to all. He ran a great race on his reappearance, going down by 1/2L to the top class Astaire, in a 6f Group3 at Newmarket and again ran well when finishing 3L behind Goldream over an inadequate 5f in another Group3 at headquarters sixteen days later. He has been placed on both course appearances, handles fast ground, and in the hands of his hugely talented trainer has an awful lot going for him at the weekend.

Niall Moran’s 5yo Dark Angel entire, Don’t Bother Me is of interest. He ran well in this last year, when a running on seventh, he was beaten less than four lengths off a mark of 98. He put up another fine performance on the track over seven furlongs six weeks later, again off 98, going down by 1L to Heavy Metal, with Watchable rated 103 a neck back in third. As he meets the O’Meara runner on 4lbs better terms he does look well handicapped. However he has to show that he can run to the same level over 6f, and unless there is plenty of rain it seems doubtful.

Selection: Huntsmans Close.

E.W: Watchable.

Kings Stand Stakes Betting Tips Group1 5f Royal Ascot Tuesday

Meccas Angel

Michael Dod’s 4yo Dark Angel filly, Meccas Angel continues to impress. Winner of seven of her twelve starts, she had her first run at Group level, last September, (Group3 Newbury soft) and made it a winning one, readily beating the useful Justice Day by 2 1/2L.

Since its inception in 1860, seven horses, including the great Diadem, (1919, 1920) have won The Kings Stand in consecutive years, but none have managed to bring up the hat trick, a situation that fantastic 8yo gelding Sole Power, is going to try to correct on Tuesday. Already the winner of an eye watering, near £2,000,000 he is as short as 4/1 to achieve his third successive victory in this historic sprint. He disappointed last time out, finishing 6th, 5l behind Mustajeeb at the Curragh (6f gd-soft May23rd) but is easily forgiven, as he has never won beyond 5f in any of his 48 races. Tuesday’s race is tailor made for this “hold up” horse and a reproduction of his win in the Group1 at Meydan in March this year, would certainly see him involved at the very least, at the business end on Tuesday. One for the short list!

Mind you, as the very open betting indicates, this is no one horse affair, and there are plenty need considering, not least William Haggas’s rapidly improving 5yo gelding, Muthmir. Having put up an astonishing performance to win the Portland Handicap at Doncaster last September with his head in his chest, considering he nearly came down exiting the stalls, he was put away for the season. He reappeared in a Group2 over 6f at York on May13th, where he acquitted himself well, finishing 5th, less than 1L behind the winner, Glass Office. He confirmed his progress when taking a Group2 over 5f (Gd-Sft) at Chantilly eighteen days later. Some were not totally convinced by his performance here, but to this observer he won cleverly, and as the runner up, Catcall, had been a slightly unlucky second in the 2013 Prix De L’Abbe, the form looks solid. Given better ground at Ascot,it will be hard to keep this rapidly improving sprinter out of the money.

The Australian 4yo, Brazen Beau, won a Group2 sprint over 6f last October, and progressed to Group1 level when winning at Flemington, again over 6f, twenty seven days later. Reverting to 5f four months later, again at Group1 level, he was beaten 2 1/2L. Last time out he won a Grade1 handicap readily, at 6f. Coming all the way from Australia, connections clearly fancy their chances, but I wonder if Tuesday’s test will prove just too sharp as he does seem to be better at six furlongs.

Unlike her Australian compatriot, the 6yo mare Shamal Wind, seems particularly well suited by Tuesday’s trip. She has won five times over the distance, and was quite impressive last time when winning a Grade1 handicap over an extended five at Caulfield. However this Dubawi mare has never won at Group level, and despite that last impressive win she might just come up short in this company.

Michael Dod’s 4yo Dark Angel filly, Meccas Angel continues to impress. Winner of seven of her twelve starts, she had her first run at Group level, last September, (Group3 Newbury soft) and made it a winning one, readily beating the useful Justice Day by 2 1/2L. Not seen again until May10th (Longchamp 5f Group3 Gd-Sft) she again disposed of a decent field in a very good time. Clearly a very progressive and consistent filly, who likes to get her toe in, so particularly if there is rain, although she acts perfectly well on good ground, she is going to pose a serious threat to all.

Charlie Appelby’s 4yo Invincible Spirit gelding Pretend, was very disappointing when trailing in second last at Windsor on June1st. However it was his first run for two months, and his very able trainer blamed the fast ground. He certainly looked a very talented and speedy performer when winning his two previous races over 5 and 6 furlongs at Lingfield. They were both highly competitive affairs, and as many animals who handle Lingfields A.W. Surface, adapt well to Ascots 5f course, he is by no means passed over.

Fourteen 3yo’s have won since 1974, so the two fillies Tiggy Wiggy, and Anthem Alexander are worth a second look. Tiggy Wiggy had the best of their last two meetings, both over 6f, but Anthem Alexander did come out on top at last years Royal meeting, over 5f. While the Hannon filly failed to stay in the 1000gns, Sole Powers stablemate has been kept to sprinting, and won on her reappearance at Naas on June 1st. Anthem Alexander certainly adds another dimension to Edward Lynam’s challenge, and it would be no great surprise to see this course and distance winner involved.

Selection: Meccas Angel.

E.W. : Muthmir.