I hope you were on our e.w selection, Third Time Lucky, in last weeks Cambridgeshire, who thanks to a never say die ride from Adam Beschizza, got back up in the shadow of the post to win at the rewarding odds of 14/1. The big question come Sunday is whether the amazing mare Treve can pull off a record breaking third win in the Longchamp showpiece, The Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe under her pilot Thierry Jarnet.
The superb 5yo mare, trained by Criquette Head-Maarek, having won her only race as a 2yo went from strength to strength in her 3yo campaign winning all four of her races, including the Prix de Diane, the Prix Vermeille, and culminating in a scintillating win in the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe. Things didn’t look so rosy the following year, when having failed to hit the back of the net in her first two races, she was very disappointing when only a poor 4th in the Prix Vermeille. However she was a revelation in the Arc itself when confounding her odds of 14/1, she showed great acceleration from the final bend and won with her head in her chest from Flintshire and Taghrooda, with the St Leger winner Kingston Hill, back in fourth. This year has been much more straightforward, with her winning all three starts, culminating in a sparkling display in the Vermeille three weeks ago. She goes to post a worthy favourite, but one wonders if that fabulous performance three weeks ago can be repeated on Sunday. Nevertheless if in the same form as last year, she will be extremely hard to beat.
On the figures the one with the best chance of doing so would seem to be John Gosden’s Golden Horn. Having won the Dante, the Derby, and the Eclipse he was sent off at 4/9 to win the Juddmonte International only to lose his unbeaten record to the filly Arabian Queen, in a muddling race. He retrieved his somewhat tarnished reputation in the Irish Champion Stakes when winning, but in controversial circumstances. Having been joined by FreeEagle, (also runs Sunday) 2f out, the Gosden horse was probably getting the better of the argument when jinking violently right a hundred and fifty yards from the finish and gave Free Eagle a severe thump which at the very least cost him the runner up spot, as Found, away from the trouble, ran on well up the rails to capture second place. After a stewards inquiry the placings remained unaltered, but it has to be said that if adjudicated in France, Golden Horn would undoubtedly have lost the race. Having been on the go all season the Gosden Colt can’t be described as having had an ideal Arc preparation, but with the ground likely to be in his favour, and bullish noises emanating from Newmarket he has to be on the shortlist.
One who has travelled a more traditional route is the Andre Fabre (seeking his eighth win in the race) trained Dubawi Colt New Bay. Having won the Prix du Jockey Club at the end of May he enjoyed a nice summer holiday before returning eleven weeks later to win a Gp2 at Deauville. In his next race, The Prix Neil, a tried and trusted route for previous Fabre winners, and New Bay’s first attempt at 1m4f, he stormed home winning easily from three of Sunday’s opponents, Silverware, Migwar, and Erupt. This fast improving animal is of the highest class and must have a great chance of adding to his amazing trainers c.v.
While the great Vincent O’Brien sent out the winner of the Arc from the famous Ballydoyle stables on three occasions, (Ballymoss1958, Alleged 1977 and 1978) his successor, Aidan, somewhat surprisingly has only managed a single win, (Dylan Thomas 2007). The current tenant however has a live contender in this years renewal with his 3yo Galileo filly Found. She won on her debut as a 2yo, and having finished third in the Gp1 Moyglare, won the Prix Marcel Boussac here at Lonchamp, finishing her two year old campaign rated equal best European 2yo filly. Her 3yo career got off to a bad start when a training set back led to her withdrawal from the 1000gns at Newmarket and she reappeared in the Athasi Stakes, finishing second. She didn’t have the rub of the green next time when slightly unlucky in the Irish 1000gns going down by1/2L to Pleascach. Another second followed when going down by a hard fought neck in the Coronation Stakes at Royal Ascot. Stepped up to 1m2f in the Royal Whip at the Curragh, she impressed when putting the year older Answered firmly in his place. Her second in the Irish Champion Stakes was full of merit, and being by Galileo, she may well improve further for Sunday’s step up in trip. She has always been very highly regarded at Ballydoyle, and sources close to the connections suggest that the cash is down.
Selection: New Bay
E.W. : Found