Qipco 1000gns Stakes Betting Tips

Qipco 1000gns Stakes Betting Tips 1m Newmarket Sunday

The Young Master kept the Oddsguru ball rolling in fine style when winning last week’s bet365 Gold Cup at odds of 8/1. He had been available at odds of 14/1 at the time of writing, but let’s not be greedy! He ran a brave race under talented amateur, and part owner, Sam Waley-Cohen. Having got the last fence wrong he was headed by the runner up but battled back bravely to get the decision in the shadow of the post. He clearly relished the marathon trip and bearing in mind Waley-Cohen’s outstanding record over the Grand National fences he is definitely one to keep in mind for next years Aintree Showpiece.

We can be fairly certain that none of Sunday’s 1000gns contenders will ever be asked to jump over the spruce at Aintree, but one thing we can be sure of, is that the winner at the weekend will have covered the eight furlongs of the Rowley Mile in under 100 seconds. The great Henry Cecil had a fantastic record in the race, winning it six times, and the only trainer on Sunday to come close, is French handler, Criquette Head-Maarek. She has won it four times, most recently with Special Duty in 2010 and seeks a fifth with Midweek. Her representative is a filly by Motivator out of a Danzig mare and is a half sister to that very useful miler, (RPR 119) Confront. She has already demonstrated her ability to get a mile, winning over the distance at Saint-Cloud last September and perhaps, just as significantly, in this cold and wet spring, she has had the benefit of a run, which may well confer an advantage over her unraced peers. She was second in a 7f Gp3 (heavy) Maisons-Laffitte contest three weeks ago, where she stayed on nicely. While needing to show considerable improvement to trouble the judge on Sunday, in the hands of genius Criquette, it would come as no surprise if she did.

Irish maestro Aidan O’Brien has won the 1000gns twice and fields three, the hot favourite, Minding, Ballydoyle, and Alice Springs. Minding wound up her 2yo campaign with a most impressive win in the Group1 Fillies Mile over course and distance (good/soft) last October, where she came home 4 1/2L in front of Sunday’s opponent Nathra. Prior to that she had beaten stable companion Ballydoyle by 3/4L in a Group1 over 7f at the Curragh, and as the runner up went on to win the Group1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp, the form is rock solid. While Minding does seem to have outstanding claims, it is worth remembering that both of O’Briens previous winners did have the benefit of a previous outing, and many, including her trainer, think that she may well be suited by further.

Ballydoyle, who is reported to be working well, and already boasts a victory over the favourite, (7f Gd/fm) cannot be easily dismissed, but she probably needs top of the ground conditions to excel, so perhaps the third stable representative, Alice Springs is of more interest. A 550,000gns yearling, this Galileo filly, with eight races under her belt is not short of experience, and has run well at the top level, particularly at Keenland in the States last October, where despite being denied the clearest of runs she ran on well to get within 3/4L of the winner, Catch A Glimpse, in a Grade 1 contest. She has had the benefit of a run, at Leopardstown three weeks ago, where she was sent off the 5/4 favourite in a Group3, contest. She was dropped out in the early stages, and left with too much to do on the heavy ground, wasn’t given a hard race. She did come home strongly to finish 3rd and is bound to have benefited from the run. It would come as no surprise to see her outrun her odds of 20/1!

Mark Johnston, trainer of Lumiere is very bullish about the chance of this daughter of Shamardal. She has only run three times, all over 6f. Having won at Newmarket in July she probably found Yorks easy 6f an insufficient test when finishing second, but back at headquarters ran on gamely to take the Group1 Chevely Park Stakes. Her half sister won over 12f and her dam was a wide margin winner over 7f on her only start as a 2yo, so there is plenty of positives on the distaff for Sunday’s trip. Her style of racing also strongly suggests that a mile will suit, so Master Trainer Johnston could well be leading in his second 1000gns winner at the Weekend.

Another, who is sure to have benefited from a race this miserable Spring, is John Gosden’s Iffraaj filly, Nathra. She was put firmly in her place in The Fillies Mile by Minding but may not have been best suited by the hold up tactics employed by Dettori. She was quite impressive three weeks ago when ridden closer to the pace, and she won easily under a hands and heels ride, running on well over 7f at Newmarket. Gosden won this with Lahan in 2000 so knows what is required, and must have high hopes of bringing up the double on Sunday.

Selection : Lumiere

E.W. : Alice springs (if abs. Nathra)

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Lockinge Stakes Betting Tips 1m Group1 Newbury Saturday

Integral

Integral is a beautifully bred 5yo mare by Dalakhani out of the Group1 winning mare, Echelon and we fancy her to go very close.

I hope you were on when Jamie Spencer, brought home the bacon on our selection, Speculative Bid, in last weeks Victoria Cup, at the very rewarding odds of 10/1. On paper at least, Saturday’s Newbury Group1 does seem a slightly easier contest to solve, so here’s hoping we can keep the ball rolling. Since the race was elevated to the top tier in 1995, some strong trends have been evident, not least that fifteen of the last nineteen winners, boasted winning form at Group1 level coming into the contest.

Four year olds have had the best of it in the same period, winning twelve times, with five five year olds, and two six year olds obliging. Considering how few females have contested the race over the past decade, their record has been outstanding. They have won three of the last ten renewals, and significantly , two of them have been trained by Sir. Michael Stoute. Perhaps even more significantly, they have all run in the same colours as Saturday’s entrant, Integral, the red white and blue of Chevely Park Stud.

Integral is a beautifully bred 5yo mare (by Dalakhani out of the Group1 winning mare, Echelon). She had already won two Group1 races against her own sex in a highly successful campaign as a four year old, when coming up short in the Group1 Queen Elizabeth II stakes against the colts. Excuses can be made, as she was unsuited by the testing ground,and may have been over the top anyway. It is very significant that Chevley Park have kept her in training as a 5yo, and considering Sir Michael’s skill with older horses this mare looks the one to beat at the weekend.

Richard Hannon’s 4yo Night of Thunder, the shock winner of last years controversial 2000gns, when coming home 1/2L in front of the brilliant miler, Kingman, failed to hit the back of the net in any of his subsequent four races, but did post some very good efforts. His last run was particularly noteworthy, finishing a slightly unlucky second to the high class Charm Spirit, in the Q.E11 stakes last October. He hasn’t been seen since, but this need not be a problem, as only three of the last ten winners had had a previous run. Top rated, and coming from a yard that has provided three of the last five winners, Night of Thunder must have every chance of getting involved on Saturday.

The highly talented David O’Meara, saddles the 6yo gelding Custom Cut, and like his sire Notnowcato, appears to be improving with age. First off,winning a modest Cork handicap three years ago from a lowly mark of 75, He was rated 117 when comfortably disposing of Here Comes When in a Group2 at Sandown on his reappearance in April. He had that good yardstick Top Notch Tonto, 4 1/2L further back at Sandown, strongly suggesting that further progress had been made over the winter, so his odds of 12/1 at the time of writing represent some value.

Whatever ailed the 4yo Oasis Dream colt, Mooharib who hung so badly when finishing third in this years Lincoln handicap, his very capable trainer Marco Botti ironed out before his next appearance. He absoloutly hosed up in a listed race at Ascot, four weeks after Doncaster, cruising up to the leaders, quickening clear, and then eased back to beat Hors de Combat with consummate ease. Another rapidly improving animal, it isn’t too difficult to see him being involved at the weekend.

One of the few winners at Group1 level in Saturday’s contest, the 4yo Toormore, the second Hannon runner, needs considering. His Group1 success came as a two year old in the 7f National stakes at the Curragh which He won easily and ended the season crowned Europe’s top two year old. His 3yo career started very promisingly with a facile win in the Craven stakes from the top class The Great Gadsby, but was subsequently most disappointing until showing signs of a revival in the Q.E.11 at the end of the season. Here,starting at 25/1, He took a fierce hold, and still fighting Kieran Fallon for his head was dropped to last two furlongs out. He ran on and despite having too much to do finished a very respectable third, beaten 1/2L and 1/2L by Charm Spirit, and his stable companion Night of Thunder. He has clearly had his problems, but coming from this yard it would be no surprise to see a reformed character on Saturday.

Selection: Integral

E.W. : Toormore