Emirates Cesarewitch Stakes (Handicap) 2m2f (Rowley) Newmarket Saturday

Cesarewitch guruI hope plenty of followers of The Oddsguru Blog took our advice and rowed in with our EW suggestion, Waldegeist in last Sunday’s “Arc”. Available at some very fancy prices when first advised last Wednesday, Andre Fabre’s, Longchamp specialist was always travelling well within himself at the back of midfield, and when asked by his outstanding rider, Pierre-Charles Boudot, made up ground with consummate  ease from 1 1/2f out, and went past the 1/2fav, Enable, 50yds from the post to win by 1 3/4L, recording his 5th course victory in the process. There will be nothing in the Waldegeist class lining up for Saturday’s Cesarewitch, but in a heat, 2m2f in length, contested over 2 counties, (starts in Suffolk, ends in Cambridgeshire) that is always run with the choke out, some of the French Star’s stamina will not go amiss, and the current market leader, Buildmeupbuttercup, shouldn’t fail on that front.

Trained by top Irish trainer, Willie Mullins, (won last year’s renewal with Low Sun) Buildmeupbuttercup proved her stamina for this when a running on 2nd in Royal Ascot’s 2m4f eponymous Handicap in June. The 5yo daughter of Sixties Icon, showed that she wasn’t short of pace either when taking a 12f Galway Maiden next time out, and following a 45 day break, put up another excellent performance 4 weeks ago, when failing by a neck to concede 15lbs to the rapidly improving 3yo Kastasa over 13f. As the winner has gone on to win a Curragh Group3 and is now rated 109, a strict interpretation of the form would make the Mullins mare look like something of a good thing on Saturday off her mark of 94, but it has to be remembered that Kastasa is a rapidly improving 3yo so perhaps that conclusion is a little tenuous. Nevertheless, however you look at it the Mullins mare looks very well handicapped, and proven on soft ground, (won a Bumper on soft when trained by Mick Channon) she is well worth considering.

prescott newmarketThat uber shrewd master of getting a horse well handicapped, Sir Mark Prescott has never won The Cesarewitch but goes to war on Saturday with two contenders, both of whom look very well in, Timoshenko and Land Of Oz. The former, a 4yo, won all 5 starts at 3, and carried on the good work on his seasonal debut, following a 355 days break, he landed a Goodwood Handicap over 2m4 1/2f, 73 days ago. Clearly still improving, he is only 5 lbs higher on Saturday, and the main concern would be soft ground, as he has never won, or been placed on anything slower than Good. On the other hand, Sir Marks’ second runner, Land Of Oz, looked very much at home on soft ground when winning over 2m1 1/2f at Ayr in July, and this improving 3yo son of Derby winner Australia, has been very shrewdly placed to sneak into Saturday’s heat at the bottom of the handicap. He won his first run in a handicap, back in July, off a lowly 58, and despite winning 4 of his next 5 starts, still needed to win Newmarket’s Cesarewitch Trial over Course and Distance 3 weeks ago to get into Saturday’s race, a feat he accomplished in some style, winning comfortably by 1 1/2L. Top lightweight pilot David Egan, takes the ride, and could be the one to Land Sir Mark, his first Cesarewitch.

Another upwardly mobile 3yo is the Andrew Balding trained Ranch Hand, and he revelled in the Haydock mud when landing a valuable 14f Handicap 5 weeks ago. By The Melbourne Cup winner, Dunaden, out of the High Chaparral mare Victoria Montoya who stayed 2 miles well, he is bred for the job, and with champion elect, Oisin Murphy, doing the steering has plenty to recommend him.

It isn’t often that the master of Ballydoyle has runners in a race like The Cesarewitch, so it’s worth taking note when 4 of them appear in the declarations, and the one that catches the eye is the 3yo colt, Barbados. Beautifully bred by Galileo out of the Danehill mare, Sumora, he has only won one of his 8 starts, a Navan Maiden, but undoubtedly his best performance came when racing on soft ground for the first time, he was only beaten 1/2L, by the now 109 rated Dashing Willoughby, in Royal Ascot’s 14f Group2 Queens Vase, where the subsequent St Leger 3rd, Nayef Road, was a further 1/2L back in 3rd. He has done little since, and indeed finished last of 17 last time out, but coming from this quarter, it is premature to write him off, and if the ground does come up soft on Saturday, it could well spike a revival in the fortunes of this well bred colt.

If the going does get testing don’t ignore Alan King’s Chester Cup Hero,
Coeur De Lion as he came home 5L clear of his rivals over The Roodeye’s 2m2 1/2f on heavy ground. He ran well without troubling the judge in his following 3 races, so top handler King has given him a nice 78 day break, and he will strip one of the freshest in the field.

Selection.  : Land Of Oz

EW.             : Ranch Hand

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