Investec Derby (Group1) 1 1/2Miles Epsom

oddsguru derbyI hope many of you were on last week’s EW selection, Phoenix Of Spain, in Ireland’s 2000Gns. The son of Lope De Vega, made all, and came home 3L clear of the joint 6/4 favourite, Too Darn Hot at the rewarding odds of 16/1. The time was fast, and it will take a good one to lower his colours in the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot, (currently available at 9/4). Interestingly, Doncaster’s Group1 Futurity last October, has now produced the winner of the English 2000Gns, Magna Grecia, 1st at Donny, and the Irish equivalent with Phoenix Of Spain, who finished a slightly controversial 2nd, all of which has to make the close 4th home in that heat, Circus Maximus Of interest on Saturday.

Another inmate of The Ballydoyle Academy, Circus Maximus is a son of the great stallion Galileo, (sire of 2 Epsom Derby winners, Ruler Of The World, 2010 and Australia 2011) and is one of 8 entries from the yard at the time of writing. Put away for the season after that good Doncaster effort, he reappeared in The 1m2 1/2f Dee Stakes at Chester, (Soft) 23 days ago, and stayed on well inside the final furlong to comfortably hold his stable mate, Mohawk, strongly suggesting that Saturday’s trip should be well within his compass. He is out of the top class miler, Duntle, (placed 3 times at the top level) and has plenty to recommend him, including his price, currently trading around 20/1, but would probably like to see some rain in the Epsom area.

There are no stamina doubts about stablemate, and current market leader,
Sir Dragonet either. He hosed up in the 1m4 1/2f Chester Vase on soft ground 24 days ago. It was a remarkable performance as it was only his 2nd time on a racecourse, (easily won a Tipperary Maiden 13 days earlier) and as he didn’t turn a hair in the pot boiling atmosphere of The Roodeye, he seems to have the temperament to cope with the demands of Derby Day at Epsom. If he handles the likely faster ground on Saturday, the son of Camelot, out of a daughter of that fabulous mare, Urban Sea, he could easily justify his position at the top of the market, (and his late entry fee of £85,000).

One Ballydoyle entry who shouldn’t be inconvenienced by fast ground on Saturday is Anthony Van Dyck as he won a Leopardstown Group3 by 4 3/4L on Good/Firm last July. Another son of Galileo, he showed plenty of reserves of stamina when winning Lingfield’s 1m3 1/2f Derby Trial on soft ground 3 weeks ago.

obrien investec

Aidan O’Brien knows there’s nothing sketchy about Anthony Van Dyck’s chances

He is out of the Exceed and Excel mare Believe’N’Succeed, whose best previous offspring, is the talented Australian sprinter, Bounding, so I’m sure the Coolmore connections, must have been delighted to see at Lingfield that their great stallion had yet again, come up with the
“Stamina” goods, and it wouldn’t surprise if Anthony Van Dyck provided Aidan with a 7th, record equaling victory, in Epsom’s Blue Riband.

There has been plenty of money for Broome in the markets, and the son of the 2011 winner, Australia, has won both starts this term pretty comfortably, Group3 heats at Leopardstown.  However, his best 2yo performance came when beaten a Neck in the Group1 Prix Jean-Luc Lagardère at Longchamp, a race that hasn’t really worked out. He was also well beaten in his only 2 runs on fast ground so may find conditions against him.

England’s best chance of retaining the Crown would seem to lie with the Hughie Morrison trained, Telecaster. Unraced as a 2yo, the son of the 2008 winner New Approach, made a promising racecourse debut in a Doncaster Maiden at the end of March, where, sent off an unconsidered 20/1 shot, he was beaten 1 1/4L by Saturday’s opponent, Bangkok, who was having his 4th race and started the even money favourite. He hacked up in a Windsor Class5 Novices 16 days later, and 3 weeks ago took a giant step forward when landing York’s Group2 Dante Stakes by a length from Too Darn Hot. The runner up may not have quite got home that day, but Saturday’s opponent, the O’Brien trained Japan, (winner of his 2 previous races and a full brother to the top level performers, Isaac Newton and Secret Gesture) was 5 3/4L back in 4th. He is out of the top class mare Shirocco Star, who only lost out by a Neck in the 2012 Oaks to Was, so he is certainly bred for Saturday’s trip, might even improve for it, and justify connections huge £85,000 late entry fee.

The Kevin Prendergast trained Madhmoon will be attempting to give his veteran handler a first victory, and his owner Sheikh Hamdan, a third, (Nashwan 1989, Erhaab 1994) and the way the son of Dawn Approach finished for 4th place in The 2000Gns they must both be feeling pretty hopeful. Racing in the unfavoured group, down the middle of the track, he was outpaced over a furlong out, but finished best of all in the group looking as if further would definitely suit. There is plenty of encouragement on his sire’s side that he will get the trip, but the distaff is slightly more problematical. However, having trained  the dam, Araas, (stayed 10f and is by Haafhd who gets plenty of middle distance horses) the grand dam Adaala, and most of their offspring to win plenty of races, the Co Kildare trainer knows this family inside out, and he is optimistic that Madhmoon will get the trip. It’s also worth noting that 2yo’s that stay a mile, usually stay middle distances at 3, and Madhmoon made short work of Broome in last September’s  Group2 Champions Juvenile Stakes over a mile at Leopardstown, running on well to win by 2 1/2L on the Good/Firm ground.

Selection  : Anthony Van Dyck
Danger          : Telecaster

John Gray

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