November Handicap 1m4f Doncaster Tips Saturday

doncaster flat racingSaturday at Doncaster brings the curtain down on another turf flat racing season, and punters hoping to improve their bank balance, should approach the feature handicap with some caution, as only a single “Jolly”has obliged in the last 22 years. Mind you, it hasn’t by any means been an impossible heat to crack, as 6 of the last 10 winners have been returned with an SP in single figures, and two of those have been trained by the race’s  most successful handler, (5 wins) John Gosden, which has to make his sole representative on Saturday, the 4yo colt Royal Line of particular interest.

By Dubawi, he was unraced as a 2yo, and has only had the 6 starts. He hasn’t been seen since his last run at the end of April when his form took a decidedly upward trajectory, winning Epsom’s Great Metropolitan Handicap off a mark of 95 by
2 3/4L from Golden Wolf, with that good yardstick, Firefighting, a further 3 1/4L back in 3rd. A 10lbs rise to 105 looks quite severe but, beautifully bred, he is a half brother to the Group2 winner, Masterstroke and the Group3 winning Mr Moonlight Magic, he just
could be a Group Horse running in a Handicap. With his ability to go well fresh, (won 1st time out) he may be up to defying his new mark.

2015 November Handicap preview.

There have been 18 winners from the Classic generation since 1980, and Willie Haggis,
(won with Conduit 5 year’s ago) fields a likely looking 3yo, My Lord And Master, this time. Lightly raced, he won the 2nd of his two juvenile heats, beating his stable companion, Young Rascal, (now rated 116) by 6L in a Nottingham Maiden. Just beaten on his 3yo debut, he followed up with a creditable 2nd in Chester’s Dee Stakes in May,  but 17 days later was well beaten in a Longchamp Group3. However last time out he showed the talent was still there, going down by a Neck, off a mark of 99, in a 10 1/2f York Handicap, finishing with great gusto on the soft ground. Stoutly bred, by
Master craftsman out of a Dalakhani mare, he should be well suited by Saturday’s trip, is only 4lbs higher than York, and with Daniel Tudhope, who won on Open Eagle in 2014 doing the steering, has plenty to recommend him.

The Clive Cox trained Now Children took a considerable step forward 27 days ago when winning a Class2 Goodwood Handicap (1m4f Soft) by 4 1/2L from Saturday’s opponent, Wolf Country, on only his 7th racecourse appearance. By a miler out of a sprinter it is surprising that staying appears to be the Cox’s horses forte, and it may “be, that campaigned over middle distances, he is beginning to realise his full potential. With a rise of 6lbs for that facile Goodwood victory looking very fair he will be hard to keep out of the places at the weekend.

There has never been an Irish trained winner of Doncaster’s November Handicap but top handler, Ger Lyons will be hoping to rewrite the script with his 4yo gelding, Inscribe. He does need a few above him in the handicap to come out to get a run but if he does, with only 8-7 to carry and Joe Fanning doing the steering, he has plenty in his favour. Lightly raced, the 4yo son of American stallion, Harlan’s Holiday, is out of a Sadler’s Wells mare and has won 3 of his 7 races on turf.  The manner of his two victories over 10f, at Naas and The Curragh, on testing ground, strongly suggest that Saturday’s trip will be fine and it won’t be the biggest surprise if the trophy ends up on the other side of The Irish Sea.

Racing over 12f for the first time, with trainers daughter, Megan, in the plate, the Paul Nicholls trained Birds of Prey looked a tad unlucky, to go down by a Shd in Haydock’s Ladies Trophy Handicap 61 days ago. Headed by the winner inside the 2f marker, he fought back, and kept up a persistent challenge all the way to the line. Campaigned over shorter when trained in Ireland by John Oxx, he won twice for the Curragh Maestro on testing ground, and looks nicely handicapped on 92 which including Ms Nicholls 5lb claim, means he will only have the featherweight of 8-4 to carry.

The Hughie Morrison trained Buzz put in a really solid performance 7 week’s ago when getting up on the line to win a Class2 Newbury Handicap off a mark of 93 over an inadequate 10f. Back up to 12f off a 5lbs higher mark the son of Motivator is worth a second look.

Despite trips to Switzerland Germany and Ireland, last year’s third, Eddystone Rock has failed to hit the back of the net in his 11 subsequent starts but as a result gets into Saturday’s contest off a 9lbs lower mark. He ran well enough last time finishing 5/20 in a valuable Naas handicap to suggest that he can be competitive off his mark of 91 and could be interesting, especially on soft ground.

Selection : Now Children
E.W.          : My Lord And Master    Eddystone Rock.

John Gray

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