Qipco 1000gns Stakes Betting Tips

Qipco 1000gns Stakes Betting Tips 1m Newmarket Sunday

The Young Master kept the Oddsguru ball rolling in fine style when winning last week’s bet365 Gold Cup at odds of 8/1. He had been available at odds of 14/1 at the time of writing, but let’s not be greedy! He ran a brave race under talented amateur, and part owner, Sam Waley-Cohen. Having got the last fence wrong he was headed by the runner up but battled back bravely to get the decision in the shadow of the post. He clearly relished the marathon trip and bearing in mind Waley-Cohen’s outstanding record over the Grand National fences he is definitely one to keep in mind for next years Aintree Showpiece.

We can be fairly certain that none of Sunday’s 1000gns contenders will ever be asked to jump over the spruce at Aintree, but one thing we can be sure of, is that the winner at the weekend will have covered the eight furlongs of the Rowley Mile in under 100 seconds. The great Henry Cecil had a fantastic record in the race, winning it six times, and the only trainer on Sunday to come close, is French handler, Criquette Head-Maarek. She has won it four times, most recently with Special Duty in 2010 and seeks a fifth with Midweek. Her representative is a filly by Motivator out of a Danzig mare and is a half sister to that very useful miler, (RPR 119) Confront. She has already demonstrated her ability to get a mile, winning over the distance at Saint-Cloud last September and perhaps, just as significantly, in this cold and wet spring, she has had the benefit of a run, which may well confer an advantage over her unraced peers. She was second in a 7f Gp3 (heavy) Maisons-Laffitte contest three weeks ago, where she stayed on nicely. While needing to show considerable improvement to trouble the judge on Sunday, in the hands of genius Criquette, it would come as no surprise if she did.

Irish maestro Aidan O’Brien has won the 1000gns twice and fields three, the hot favourite, Minding, Ballydoyle, and Alice Springs. Minding wound up her 2yo campaign with a most impressive win in the Group1 Fillies Mile over course and distance (good/soft) last October, where she came home 4 1/2L in front of Sunday’s opponent Nathra. Prior to that she had beaten stable companion Ballydoyle by 3/4L in a Group1 over 7f at the Curragh, and as the runner up went on to win the Group1 Prix Marcel Boussac at Longchamp, the form is rock solid. While Minding does seem to have outstanding claims, it is worth remembering that both of O’Briens previous winners did have the benefit of a previous outing, and many, including her trainer, think that she may well be suited by further.

Ballydoyle, who is reported to be working well, and already boasts a victory over the favourite, (7f Gd/fm) cannot be easily dismissed, but she probably needs top of the ground conditions to excel, so perhaps the third stable representative, Alice Springs is of more interest. A 550,000gns yearling, this Galileo filly, with eight races under her belt is not short of experience, and has run well at the top level, particularly at Keenland in the States last October, where despite being denied the clearest of runs she ran on well to get within 3/4L of the winner, Catch A Glimpse, in a Grade 1 contest. She has had the benefit of a run, at Leopardstown three weeks ago, where she was sent off the 5/4 favourite in a Group3, contest. She was dropped out in the early stages, and left with too much to do on the heavy ground, wasn’t given a hard race. She did come home strongly to finish 3rd and is bound to have benefited from the run. It would come as no surprise to see her outrun her odds of 20/1!

Mark Johnston, trainer of Lumiere is very bullish about the chance of this daughter of Shamardal. She has only run three times, all over 6f. Having won at Newmarket in July she probably found Yorks easy 6f an insufficient test when finishing second, but back at headquarters ran on gamely to take the Group1 Chevely Park Stakes. Her half sister won over 12f and her dam was a wide margin winner over 7f on her only start as a 2yo, so there is plenty of positives on the distaff for Sunday’s trip. Her style of racing also strongly suggests that a mile will suit, so Master Trainer Johnston could well be leading in his second 1000gns winner at the Weekend.

Another, who is sure to have benefited from a race this miserable Spring, is John Gosden’s Iffraaj filly, Nathra. She was put firmly in her place in The Fillies Mile by Minding but may not have been best suited by the hold up tactics employed by Dettori. She was quite impressive three weeks ago when ridden closer to the pace, and she won easily under a hands and heels ride, running on well over 7f at Newmarket. Gosden won this with Lahan in 2000 so knows what is required, and must have high hopes of bringing up the double on Sunday.

Selection : Lumiere

E.W. : Alice springs (if abs. Nathra)

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bet365 Gold Cup Chase Tips

bet365 Gold Cup Chase 3m5f Sandown Saturday – I hope you backed last week’s selection, Vicente, in the Scottish Grand National. What a great race he ran, always travelling comfortably, just off the pace, he stayed on really strongly to outstay Alvarado and See You At Midnight and won with something in hand at the rewarding odds of 14/1. Only seven, he is going to be a force in staying chases next season, and is one to bear in mind come Aintree in April. Our E.W. selection, Royale Knight, also ran a cracker and looked a possible winner approaching the second last, but could only run on at one pace to hold onto 4th place at odds of 20/1 in the 28 runner field. All in all a very satisfactory result! Saturday’s contest looks just as difficult a puzzle to solve but here are some suggestions.

Peter Bowen’s 8yo, Henri Parry Morgan has only run 5 times over fences, and having finished last in the first of them, he got rid of his jockey in the second. However his last three runs have been much more promising, winning easily at Chepstow (2m7 1/2f) at the end of Febuary off a mark of 122, and then trotting up at Uttoxeter three weeks later in a very good time for the conditions, off a 13lbs higher mark. Last time he took a step up in class when finishing a good second in a Grade1 3m chase at Aintree where he had the talented Blaklion 3 1/2l back in third. He is clearly an animal on the up, and as his dam is by that great influence for stamina, Over The River, even more can be expected tackling Saturday’s trip. Although up 14lbs since his Uttoxeter,stroll in the park, he is well worth considering.

Neill Mulholland has three entered at the time of writing and two of them, Carole ‘s Destrier, and The Young Master are of definite interest. The former has had a very light season having run only three times since last April, and put up a very telling performance in the second of them, when registering a comfortable course and distance victory last December off a mark of 146 under Noel Fehilly. His talented trainer has only run him once since, avoiding the heavy winter ground, (p/u at the festival) and arrives here a well handicapped (151) and fresh horse. One for the short list!

His stable companion The Young Master had the 2014 Badger Ales trophy taken off him due to a technicality but went on to win an Ascot handicap off a mark of 144 the following month. He hasn’t hit the back of the net since but did finish a staying on 3rd at the festival, (3m1f) albeit beaten 16L. He won a 3m3f heavy ground hurdle race as a 5yo so could be well suited by Saturday’s trip and off a mark of 148 looks well treated. Presumably he will be ridden by his part owner, the very useful 3lbs claiming amateur R. Waley-Cohen, giving him a nice racing weight of 10st 12lbs. Well suited by a right hand track he has plenty to recommend him.

With Nicholls and Mullins going head to head for the trainers championship the outcome of Saturday’s contest could be of huge significance, and at the time of writing they account for seven of the weekend contenders between them. Nicholls best chance would seem to lie with the 8yo Southfield Theatre who races off a mark of 150, and if successful would give the Ditcheat handler his fifth success in the race. This time last year he looked an animal going places with three chase victories and a second to Don Poli in the RSA to his credit, but this season things haven’t gone to plan. He was sent off a 7/2 chance in a three runner affair at Sandown in November, but after a poor round of jumping finished a remote last, 44L behind Coneygree. He again finished last in his next race, this time 56L behind Don Poli at Aintree in December. He was making some progress last time when brought down at the Festival, and perhaps Master Trainer Nicholls has worked the Oracle and it’s possible we will see a much better performance on Saturday. However it is still hard to understand why the bookmakers have made him favourite and is impossible to recommend.

The Irish record in this isn’t great with only three victories in the last twenty years, but anything Willie Mullins runs has to be taken seriously and his 10yo Sir Des Champs would be of interest if turning up. This triple Grade1 winner fell at the Chair in the National but wouldn’t have found the soft ground ideal. He has won five of his seven races going right handed, is not badly handicapped and on what is likely to be decent ground at the weekend could easily outrun his odds of 25/1.

Selection : The Young Master

E.W. : Sir Des Champs (if abs) Carole’s Destrier

Coral Scottish Grand National Tips

Coral Scottish Grand National 4m Ayr Saturday

Our selection, The Last Samurai, in last week’s Aintree spectacular, gave us a great run for our money, and who knows what might have happened if the course hadn’t received that race day soaking. Unfortunately he is never going to be so well treated again, so perhaps that was his chance. Hopefully the £211,000 prize for the runner up will have offered connections some consolation, as it is probably more than double, what the winner of Saturday’s contest can expect to bank. It is still a prize very well worth winning, and could prove of great significance in the dual for the trainers title between Messrs Nicholls and Mullins, who both field runners with promising credentials.

Nicholls is mob handed, and the two of his that catch the eye are the 7yo Vicente, and the 9yo Benvolio. Vicente ran a decent race in the 4m National Hunt Chase at the Festival, finishing a running on 5th, despite being badly hampered by a loose horse three from home. As the runner up, Native River won a Grade1 at Aintree last week the form looks very solid, and considering Vicente beat the subsequent Festival winner, Un Temp Pour Tout last November by 2 3/4L giving him 8lbs, he looks really well treated here off a mark of 146, giving him a nice racing weight of 10st13lbs. He is a prominent racer which is nearly a prerequisite here as the winner of The Scottish Grand National rarely comes from far off the pace. He likes decent ground, has a pedigree that shouts stamina and comes from the yard that trained the 1997 winner, Belmont King. One for the shortlist!

Benvolio is also bred for the trip and showed his wellbeing two weeks ago when cantering up by 11L at Newbury from Ned Stark, with another of Saturday’s opponents, Tour Des Champs, a further 4 1/2L back in 4th. He is up 9lbs for Saturday but did look an improved animal on the good ground at Newbury and given similar conditions at the week end could be involved.

Willie Mullins relies on the 8yo, Measure Of My Dreams, who finished 3rd in the National Hunt Chase, 7 3/4L in front of Vicente, and given testing ground would be of interest. He looked very one paced on Cheltenham’s good/soft surface last time, and this Grade2 winner, on heavy ground at Navan, probably needs the heavens to open.

James Moffatt’s 10yo Highland Lodge, put up a fine staying performance when winning the Beecher Chase over the National fences (Aintree3m2f soft) last December, and as a result was well fancied for last weeks big one, but unfortunately failed to make the cut. Reported to be in fine fettle, he is another who races up with the pace,has just 10st4lbs in the plate, and with stamina virtually assured has to be of interest. Consolation may await!

Winner of the 2014 Grand National off a mark of 143, the 13yo Pineau De Re showed there was still life left in the old dog when winning at Carlisle in December, and ran well enough last time, finishing seventh (3m2f Newbury March 5th). His shrewd trainer Dr Richard Newland reports him to be in the best form since his Aintree triumph, so off a mark of 137 (10st4lbs) is worth a second look.

Newland also runs the 10yo prolific winner, Royale Knight ( has won seven times over fences) and he has come in for strong support in the market. A winner over 4m at Kelso, he ran a fine race over 3m5f at Sedgefield last October, winning off a mark 136. Subsequently raced over inadequate trips he gets into Saturday’s contest off a lenient looking 142 giving him 10st9lbs to carry. Given decent ground of definite interest!

Scottish trained Millborough, the winner of the 2015 4m 1/2f Eider Chase off a mark of 134 looks as if he has been laid out for this. The 10yo had the ideal prep when finishing 2nd to Firth of Clyde at Carlisle four weeks ago, and gets into this on a mark only 3lbs higher than for his Eider victory. Indeed when we take the very useful Graham Watters 3lbs claim into account he will have the feather weight of 10st1lb in the plate.

Will he keep the prize north of the border?

Colin Tizzard who is having such a wonderful season runs the 10yo Masters Hill, and running off a mark of 140 is another who seems to have been treated leniently. He went down by a head to another of Saturday’s opponents, Good To Know, when apprentice ridden over 3m 4 1/2f at Right handed Taunton five weeks ago. He would surely have won but for continually jumping left and making a mistake two out. He will be much better suited by the left handed course at the weekend and it isn’t hard to imagine the already replete Tizzard pudding being further egg’d.

Selection : Vicente.

E.W. : Royale Knight.

Crabbie’s Grand National Tips 2016

Crabbie’s Grand National 4m 3 1/2f Aintree Saturday – Our e.w. selection, Saint Are, gave us a great run for our money, finishing second in last year’s renewal of the great race, at the rewarding odds of 40/1, so let’s hope we can go one better this time.

The 2015 winner Many Clouds carried 11st 9lbs to victory, the highest since Red Rum in 1974, and this year heads up the weights with 11st 10lbs. His preparation last year had been geared towards the Gold Cup ( in which he finished a well beaten 6th ), and his participation at Aintree was something of an afterthought, so this time, with his programme aimed specifically at the National can we expect a repeat? Well he did win his prep race at Kelso, a contest he was fully entitled to collect, comfortably enough in early March, but interestingly the time gap between that race and Aintree is not much different than last year’s interval between the Gold Cup and the National. This years renewal of the Aintree Spectacular is reckoned to be one of the “classiest” of recent years, at least a 3lbs better race than last year, so arguably Many Clouds needs to improve again to carry top weight to victory. Having said that he does have a lot in his favour and deserves his place at the top of the market.

Many doubters had to eat their words when Paul Nicholls’ wonderful 10yo Silviniaco Conti hosed up in the Betfair Ascot Chase in Febuary, having previously been pulled up in the King George at Kempton. This marvellous racehorse who has won eight times at Grade 1 level and amassed over £1,000,000 in prize money is certainly not finished yet, and has to be on the short list.

Ucello Conti is a half brother to the above paragon, and in the hands of master trainer Gordon Elliott, responsible for the 2007 winner, Silver Birch, also has plenty to recommend him. Previously trained in France, and a winner of over £250,000 in prize money, he won at his first attempt over the larger obstacles as a 3yo way back in 2011, and has only come to grief once in his subsequent sixteen chases. His three runs for Elliott have included a 2nd in the Paddy Power at Leopardstown and a 3rd in the Thyestes at Gowran Park showing steady progress, and earning him a rating of 149, giving him an assured place in Saturday’s line up. His trainer thinks him a “natural” for Aintree so at current odds of 33/1 is worth considering.

It must seem an eternity to trainer Kim Bailey since the glory days of 1990 and 1995 when he won the National with Mr Frisk, the Champion Hurdle with Alderbrook, and the Gold Cup with Master Oats, but perhaps with the talented 8yo The Last Samurai the good times may be here again. He was no slouch when trained by Donald McCain last year winning three of his five starts, but in the care of Mr Bailey his form hit a new high when impressively winning The Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster last time out. The Doncaster race has been a good guide in the past with three winners, Ben Nevis, Corbiere,and Amberleigh House going on to victory at Aintree. With just 10st8lbs to carry The Last Samurai looks really well treated and is short listed.

There is something in the Merseyside air that brings out the best in Saint Are as he seems to reserve his best for Aintree. A winner of a Grade1 hurdle here as a 5yo, he has also won a Class1 chase over the Mildmay course, and last years second in the National itself was outstanding. His handler, Tom George says that he is a”Spring” horse, confirmed by his recent Doncaster success. Definitely worth considering!

For a horse with such an impressive C.V. the Willie Mullins trained Sir Des Champs looks well treated with just 10st13lbs on his back. He had a great season in 2013 winning the Grade1 Hennessy Gold Cup, coming second in the Cheltenham Gold Cup and winning the Punchestown equivalent. Unfortunately he was injured in the same years Lexus, and was off the course for 700 days. He reappeared last November at Thurles and seemed to have retained plenty of enthusiasm when winning easily. He has been disappointing in his two subsequent runs on very holding ground in the Lexus and Hennessy at Leopardstown but he is a horse who probably needs decent ground to show his best and may well find his ideal conditions on Saturday.

Another who returned to action after a long break is P Fahy’s 9yo Morning Assembly. Off for 20 months he reappeared at Fairyhouse in January and finishing strongly he went down by a head. He was second again at Gowran Park in Febuary and ran his best race last time when finishing 4th of 23 at the Cheltenham festival to Un Temp Pour Tout. Ridden by the shrewd Davy Russell he is worth a second look.

By the same sire Dom Alco, and in the same ownership as the 2012 winner Neptune Collonges, the Paul Nicholls trained Unioniste has possibilities. Attempting last year to be the first 7yo since Bogskar won in 1940 to collect he fell, but, as he was probably attempting the impossible anyhow with 11st 6lbs in the plate, and as this was his only lapse in twenty races, he is easily forgiven. He did his prospects no harm when finishing second to Many Clouds at Kelso last time, and this year, he is much more realistically weighted with 10st8lbs. With another year on his back he looks set to run a big race and could well tie up this years trainers championship for P.Nicholls.

Selection : The Last Samurai

E.W. : Unioniste