2000 Guineas Betting Preview 1 mile Newmarket Saturday

Aidan O'Brien

On breeding the Aidan O’Brien trained Gleneagles stands out. He is a full brother to last years Irish 1000gns heroine Marvellous, and if he does win on Saturday his dam Youresothrilling, will have achieved the amazing feat of producing two classic winners with her first two foals.

The inaugural running of this first classic of the year, was in 1809, and it has a roll of honour which reads like a who’s who of thoroughbred racing. Historically, the 19th century handler John Scott, with seven victories, has been the most successful trainer, his final win coming via The Marquis in 1862. It is an awfully long time for a record to stand, but Irish maestro, Aidan O’Brien would seem to have strong prospects of equalling it in this years renewal, where he is triple handed, with Gleneagles, Ol’ Man River, and Highland Reel.

On breeding Gleneagles stands out. He is a full brother to last years Irish 1000gns heroine Marvellous, and if he does win on Saturday his dam Youresothrilling, will have achieved the amazing feat of producing two classic winners with her first two foals. She had plenty of speed, winning the Cherryhinton at Newmarket as a 2yo, and is a sister to the toughest horse of his generation, Giant’s Causeway, (2nd 2000gns, and winner of five Gp1 races between 1ml and 1m 2f). By the outstanding stallion Galileo, ( sire of the brilliant Frankel, who took this in 2011, and Australia and New Approach, who both went close) Gleneagles could not be better bred for the weekends task. He made his racecourse debut in a 7f maiden at Leopardstown last June, finishing 4th, beaten 3L. He upped his game 3 weeks later taking a 7f Curragh maiden by 2 1/2L, and progressed to win the Gp3 Tyros stakes, eliciting the interesting comment from his trainer that he had “been still babyish and would improve a good bit”. He looked more the finished article, when winning the Gp2 Futurity at the Curragh 4 weeks later, and confirmed his progress when taking Ireland’s premier 2yo contest the National Stakes over 1ml at the prohibitive odds of 1/3. Sent to France for his last race, the Gp1 Prix Jean-Luc Legardare, He was quite impressive, showing a nice turn of foot to win cleverly by1/2 L, only to loose the race in the stewards room afterwards. He is one of those animals who does just enough to win, and with Ryan Moore in the plate, looks a very worthy favourite.

Second in the market at around 6/1, is the Andre Fabre trained Territories. This Invincible Spirit colt was the principle sufferer in the Prix Jean-Luc Goddard, behind Gleneagles and was duly promoted from 3rd to 2nd. He upheld the form when winning a Gp3 on his reappearance at Longchamp very comfortably on April 12th, and coming from this stable, who won with Pennekamp (1995) and Zafonic (1993) his chance must be respected. However, despite the outcome of the inquiry after the ” Luc-Goddard”, this observer feels the best horse finished in front and will do so again on Saturday.

The Richard Hannon trained Estidhkaar has won three of his six starts, and having sustained a hairline fracture when going off the 11/8 fav for last years Dewhurst Stakes, must be considered. He ran a fine race in the 7f Greenham stakes on his reappearance, finishing 2nd, a nk behind Muhaarar. Good paddock judges felt the race was needed, and considerable improvement could be expected. However there must be serious doubts about his ability to stay a mile at the highest level. His sire, Dark Angel, was a precocious 2yo who didn’t race at three, and whose best progeny have been sprinters. His unraced dam also has a lot of speedy influences in her pedigree, so perhaps the jury will have to remain out for the present.

Aidan O’Brien’s twice raced Montjeu colt, Ol’ Man River, who cost an eye watering €2,850, 000 as a yearling is attracting some interest and is a best priced 8/1 at the time of writing. He has won both his races (1ml) and like his stablemate has a pedigree to die for. His dam Finsceal Beo is one of only two fillies to have pulled off the English/Irish 1000gns double, and his sire is legendary. However it has to be said that while he has won both his starts, the form hasn’t worked out, and his style of racing would suggest that he will be suited by further.

Charlie Hills, who’s Muhaarar won the Greenham is quite bullish about his Dutch Art colt Dutch Connection. Having stayed on nicely to bag a York Gp3 (7f) He travelled to Ireland to take on Gleneagles in the Gp1 National Stakes. He ran very freely, and in the circumstances and did well to finish 2 1/2L third. Hills feels that Saturday’s likely strong gallop is what the colt needs, and that his recent racecourse workout at the Newmarket Craven meeting, was just what was required to bring him to his peak.

The Sir Mark Prescott trained Celestial Path is of interest. He hails from a family containing many outstanding milers, and as a son of Footstepsinthesand, is a grandson of the great Giants Causeway. He certainly looked the business when trotting up in a listed race at Haydock last September, but was disappointing when only managing 3rd in the Racing Post Trophy six weeks later. Perhaps he was over the top, or unsuited by the soft ground, so given good or faster ground at the weekend, he is another worth considering.

Selection: Gleneagles.

E.W. : Dutch Connection.

Racing Betting Tips Bet 365 Gold Cup 3m5 1/2f Sandown Saturday

Warren Greatrex

Warren Greatrex’s prolific scoring hunter chaser, Paint The Clouds will think he’s loose with just 10st on his back, having been used to humping around 12st and more in the amateur division.

The race was first run as the Whitbread Gold Cup in 1957 at the instigation of the Brewers chairman, Colonel Bill Whitbread, who as an amateur had ridden in two Grand Nationals. The first commercial sponsorship in British sport, the race continued under the Whitbread banner until 2002. The race’s roll of honour boasts six Cheltenham Gold Cup winners, Pas Seul (1961), Arkle (1965), What a Myth (1966), Mill House (1967), The Dikler (1974), and Desert Orchid (1988). Alas the Wonderful grey was the last Cheltenham hero to collect at Sandown, but perhaps the 2013 Gold Cup winner Bobs Worth may have something to say about that on Saturday. It is highly unlikely that the legendary Fulke Walwyns record of seven victories in the contest will ever be equalled, but Paul Nicholls, Nicky Henderson, and Philip Hobbs, with two wins each, have certainly got a record to be proud of.

Henderson, who won last years renewal with the 7yo, Hadrians Approach, is represented on Saturday by his 2013 Gold Cup Winner, Bobs Worth, and has been given a real chance by the handicapper. Rated as high as 180 in the past, He races off a mark of 159 at the weekend. He has been very disappointing since his win in the Lexus Chase at Leopardstown in December 2013, but it is worth noting that the last time He ran on good ground, (2014 Gold Cup) He did run a decent race, beaten only 4L. It is interesting that his highly talented trainer is persevering with him, so perhaps Saturday’s less demanding test may bring about a revival.

Market leader, (9/1) at the time of writing, is the Emma Lavelle trained 7yo Milan gelding, Le Reve, and he does seem to have a lot going for him. Particularly well suited by going right handed, (5 wins 4 places from 12 runs) He has an enviable record at Sandown, where He has won twice, and been placed twice from six course appearances. He ran a fine race at Ascot in December, finishing 4L behind the very progressive The Young Master, and then beat that good yardstick Theatrical Star easily over the course six weeks later, off a mark of 139. Second to the talented Rocky Creek, (with whom he is 8lbs better off on Saturday) he was put away with the weekend contest in mind. He has never won on good ground, (only 2 runs) but his sires offspring like it, so it shouldn’t be an issue. A slight reservation would be the stables lack of form but with jockey of the moment Leighton Aspell in the plate He is definitely one for the short list.

With his exceptional record in the race, Philip Hobbs’s Duke of Lucca is worth a second look. This is certainly his time of year, with his last four wins having come in either March or April, and he will be well suited by Saturday’s forecast good ground. He stayed on with great reseloution two weeks ago over the Mildmay course at the aintree festival to deny Your Busy, and the Nicholls trained Wonderful Charm, by a nk and a nk. He meets Wonderful Charm on the same terms on Saturday, so if fully recovered from his Liverpool exertions, with only a featherweight of 10st. To carry (He is 1lb overweight) is worth considering.

Warren Greatrex’s prolific scoring hunter chaser, Paint The Clouds will think he’s loose with just 10st on his back, having been used to humping around 12st and more in the amateur division. He ran well in the Fox Hunters at the Cheltenham festival finishing third to the runaway winner On The Fringe. He couldn’t match Nora Carberry’s mount for speed from the last, but as the winner repeated the dose at Liverpool, it was certainly no disgrace. He is another animal who reserves his best for the Spring and Early Summer, (9 wins from March to June) likes good ground, and stays forever, so with his nice racing weight is another for the short list.

Henry de Bromhead’s 7yo Grand Jesture belied his odds of 25/1 when running the hugely progressive The Druids Nephew to 3 3/4L at the Cheltenham festival, off a mark of 143, on only his 7th start over fences. He ran like an improving stayer at Prestbury park, so off a mark only 4lbs higher and ridden by the very promising 3lb claimer JJ Burke He is well worth considering.

Selection: Le Reve.

E.W. : Paint The Clouds.

Horse Betting Tips Scottish Grand National Ayr Saturday

Sam Winner

Paul Nicholl’s Sam Winner looked a likely type for this when beating The Druids Nephew and Saint Are over 3m31/2f at Cheltenham in November, and confirmed He was on the up, when beating the classy pair Medermit and Ma Filleule at Aintree four weeks later.

Saint Are, our e.w. Suggestion in last weeks National, ran a great race to finish 2nd at the rewarding odds of 25/1, so let’s hope we can point you in the right direction in this weekend’s Scottish equivalent.

Having won the race once and been placed three times from only ten runners, over the last decade, anything proud Scot Alan King enters must be treated with respect. His representative on Saturday is the 7yo Beneficial gelding Sego Success, who on only his second attempt over the larger obstacles, beat the well backed favourite, If In Doubt (won next time out) over 3m1f at Wetherby last November. He followed up six weeks later with quite a fetching performance when winning a Cl1 listed novices chase over Warwick’s demanding course. Strongly fancied for the four mile National hunt chase at the Cheltenham festival, He got seriously knocked about, and his jumping suffered, so it was to his credit that he was still in contention until between the last two fences. He faded to finish 5th 17l behind the runner up, and favourite for Saturday’s contest, Broadway Buffalo. Given a more trouble free passage at the weekend, the very progressive Sego Success, with his nice racing weight of 10st5lbs must have a good chance of being involved at the business end on Saturday.

Following his fine run at the Festival Broadway Buffalo’s chance has to be respected, but he has had a busy season and perhaps Saturday’s contest is something of an afterthought. He also does seem to reserve his best for an easy surface, so conditions are unlikely to to suit.

Paul Nicholl’s Sam Winner looked a likely type for this when beating The Druids Nephew and Saint Are over 3m31/2f at Cheltenham in November, and confirmed He was on the up, when beating the classy pair Medermit and Ma Filleule at Aintree four weeks later. Three weeks after that He again ran another good race when finishing 3rd in the Gd1 Lexus chase at Leopardstown. He reappeared 14 weeks later in the Gold Cup where he was pulled up before the third last, when he may well have needed the race. He remains the class act in Saturday’s contest, will not be inconvenienced by good ground, and must have serious prospects of emulating Grey Abbey in 2004, the last animal to hump 11st12lbs to victory.

Jonjo O’Neill’s Catching On, in March, won a 3m61/2f Exeter handicap very easily off a mark of124, and eleven days later was backed in to 5/2 fav to win the Midland Grand National at Uttoxeter off 130. The race may well have come too soon as he never got into his stride, and fell at the 8th. Now racing off a mark of 139 He doesn’t look particularly well handicapped, but with his attractive weight of 10st3lbs and coming from this yard, He is difficult to dismiss.

Last years runner up Trustan Times, has had a disappointing season and as a result is 2lbs lower in the handicap than last year. His shrewd trainer used the same race (Pertemps hurdle final) at the Cheltenham Festival, as he did last year, as the horses final prep for this. While it is true that Trustan Times has been disappointing over the season, it is worth remembering that the stable was badly out out of form all winter, and it would be no great surprise to see him to the fore again with his feather weight of 10st2lbs.

Tony Martin sends Gallant Oscar over from Ireland, and this lightly raced 9yo looks nicely weighted with just 10st1lb. He ran like a stayer at the Festival, when a running on 3rd behind The Druids Nephew and Grand Gesture. He had previously finished 4th in the Thyestes Chase, in awful conditions, to the Gold Cup runner up Djakadam,so does appear to be well treated at the weekend.

Peter Bowen is represented by Al Co and Edmund Kean. Al Co won last years renewal for the stable, but having got no further than the first last week at Aintree, and being 5lbs higher than last year, perhaps the more interesting of the two is Edmund Kean. Having been pulled up in his previous two races Edmund Kean, last time, ran very promisingly at Stratford when going down by a neck to Midnight Lira off a mark of 127. Bound to be suited by the step up in distance, and despite being 3lbs wrong in the handicap, it is not impossible that he might emulate Joes Edge, who won from three pounds out of the handicap in 2004.

Selection: Sam Winner

E.W. : Gallant Oscar

Best 2015 Grand National Betting Tips

Rocky Creek

Paul Nicholls runs the 9yo Rocky Creek, and is another who has a lot going for him. In last year’s race he was travelling well and jumping superbly until running out of petrol at the 2nd last, and faded into a well beaten 5th.

Having put up Pineau De Re, as one of our two selections in last years renewal, we feel that the Dr Newland trained 12yo is well worth a second look again this time. He came into last years race off a superb performance in the Pertemps Hurdle Final at the Cheltenham Festival where he finished an unlucky third. He has followed the same route this year, finishing a respectable 11th of 23, in the Pertemps despite suffering some interference. Indeed he was running on strongly at the finish of what was a rough contest, demonstrating his continuing enthusiasm for the game. His highly talented trainer is bullish about his chances, and considering how well previous winners have performed in subsequent renewals of the great race, he does seem to have place prospects at least.

Alan King, who has enjoyed such a fruitful season runs the 9yo Godsmejudge, and Saturday has been his target all season. Having won and been runner up in the last two renewals of the Scottish National his stamina for Aintree seems assured. Indeed in last years national North of the border, it was stamina that got him to within 1 1/2L of the winner, Al Co, having been 4L behind jumping the last. He is now 5lbs better off with Al Co, and with 10st8lbs on his back does look well handicapped. One for the short list!

Even without the Mc Coy factor, Jonjo O’Neill’s 8yo Shutthefrontdoor would surely be one of the favourites on Saturday. By Accordion out of a Strong Gale mare, his pedigree is all about stamina, a point strongly emphasised by his staying on win in last years Irish National, (3m5f), which he won off a mark of 143. Confirming his wellbeing, and his ability to run well fresh, he reappeared seven months later, easily landing a conditions race at Carlisle in November. Put away with Saturday in mind, the one reservation would be his handicap Mark, 7lbs higher than his 3/4L win in the Irish National. However with Mc Coy aboard he does seem to have a great chance.

Paul Nicholls runs the 9yo Rocky Creek, and is another who has a lot going for him. In last year’s race he was travelling well and jumping superbly until running out of petrol at the 2nd last, and faded into a well beaten 5th. he had a wind operation over the summer, and judging by his win at Kempton (Feb 21) it must be judged a success. He escapes a penalty for Kempton, as it came after the National weights were published, so is effectively 7lbs well in on Saturday. If his stamina holds out, and the omens look good, this sound jumper must have a great chance of being involved at the business end at the weekend.

Something about Liverpool certainly seems to suit the Tom George trained Saint Are, as he seems to reserve his best performances for the place. Winner of a Gd1 hurdle here as a 5yo, he won a Cl 1 chase over the Mildmay course as a 6yo, and ran another fine race when finishing 3rd over the National fences last December. Having been outpaced, he was only 7th at the 2nd last, but ran on really well to be only 3 3/4L adrift at the post. He won easily last time out,(3m1f) in Febuary, so back at his favourite venue, he is certainly worth a second look.

The David Pipe trained Soll has certainly thrived since joining the Nicholshayne team this season. He has won his last two races, most recently a Newbury veterans handicap (3m2 1/2f Feb 28) again after the National weights were published, and so escaping a penalty. Nicely handicapped, with just 10st2lbs to carry, with the in form Tom Scudamore in the saddle, he certainly catches the eye. He jumped around in the race two years ago, finishing seventh, and looks a much improved animal now. well worth considering.

Keith Revely’s Night in Milan is another who has been aimed at the National all season. Something of a Doncaster specialist, he won last years Grimthorpe Chase, and came third in this years renewal. As the Grimthorpe has been a good guide in the past, this prominent racing, sound jumper is another to consider.

Selection : Rocky Creek

E.W. Saint Are.

Racing Betting Tips Irish Grand National 3m 5f Fairyhouse Easter Monday

Irish Grand National 3m5f Fairyhouse Easter Monday

Willie Mullins, (who has never won the race, although his father Paddy was three times successful), tries with his National Hunt Chase 4th Perfect Gentleman,and looks to have a serious chance.

First run in 1870 over a distance of 3m4f, the trip was increased to 3m5f in1991. Historically it had been something of a Dreaper family benefit, with the legendary Tom (trained Arkle) winning nine renewals, including with the great horse in 1964. Tom actually won the race on an unprecedented seven consecutive times between 1961 and 1966, and son Jim continued the good work with four victories, that included a hat trick between 1974 and 1976. Alas, the last time the winner was led up by a Dreaper was back in 1978, when Brown Lad won with an impost of 12st2lbs on his back.

Perhaps this unhappy state of affairs can be rectified this year by Jim’s live contender, Los Amigos. Weight has been most important, with only three winners carrying more than 11st, to victory, since the immortal Desert Orchid won with 12st on his back in 1990. Unusually for such a competitive race, relatively inexperienced animals have thrived, with none of the last ten winners having had more than a dozen runs over the larger obstacles. Indeed, counting the 6yo Garoupe in 1970, nineteen novices, including last years winner Shutthefrontdoor, have hit the back of the net. So what of this years renewal?

Willie Mullins, ( who has never won the race, although his father Paddy was three times successful ), tries with his National Hunt Chase 4th Perfect Gentleman,and looks to have a serious chance. Jumping soundly in the four mile test at Cheltenham, he took it up at the 16th, and only faded into fourth place, when not quite seeing out the trip. He enjoys a 6lbs turn around with the National Hunt Chase winner Cause of Causes, so this lightly raced 10yo, with less than 11st on his back, must have serious prospects of correcting a serious gap in the Mullins C.V.

The previously mentioned Los Amigos is Definitley one to consider. On only his third outing over fences, in last years Thystes Chase, he ran a fine race to finish runner up to the subsequent shd Gold Cup second On his Own, off a mark of 126. He then ran the useful Gallant Oscar ( rec 11lbs) to 3 1/4L when finishing 3rd at Naas (3m sft March 2014). We didn’t see him again until his reappearance at Fairyhouse at the end of January, where he proved his wellbeing, beating the 134 rated Lion Na Bearni (2m5 1/2F sft-hvy). Bred to be a stayer, Jim Dreapers Overbury gelding looks well treated off a mark of 138, and is one for the short list.

Another Lightly raced animal to be interested in is the Ted Walsh trained Champagne James. A very well backed favourite for the 3m2f Kim Muir at the Festival, he wasn’t the recipient of one of Katie Walsh’s best rides. Always behind when held up out the back, he was never in a position to challenge, but did run on through beaten horses to finish 7th. Perhaps the faster ground at Cheltenham was against him, as he does seem well suited by plenty of give, well demonstrated by his run at Naas in Febuary (2m4f sft-hvy), when despite losing a shoe, he was a closing second to Empire of Dirt,(rec 6lbs) who was rated 125. His style of racing strongly suggests that staying is his game, and given easy conditions at the weekend, he is one to consider.

Lucy Wadham’s 7yo La Reve, has won three of his twelve starts over fences, and off Monday’s Mark of 147 is likely to carry more than 11st, but still makes some appeal. He does love racing right handed, and has won five, and been placed four times, from his twelve clockwise starts, so Saturday’s track should be ideal. A reproduction of his run at Sandown at the end of January (3m1/2f sft) where he won very easily from that good yardstick Theatrical Star, would put him firmly in the mix.

Michael Hourigan’s 7yo The Job Is Right is another who may be well suited by Monday’s test. He finished third in The National Hunt Chase (5L ahead of Perfect Gentleman), where he led at the last ( normally the 2nd last) and was only run out of it in the last 100yds, finishing 3rd, (1 1/2L and 5L) behind Cause of Causes, and Broadway Buffalo. Reservations for Monday would be his very hard race at Cheltenham, and his less than fluent jumping.

Selection: Perfect Gentleman.

E.W. : Los Amigos.