Racing Betting Tips 32Red Casino Handicap Chase

Racing Betting Tips 32Red Casino Handicap Chase

Paul Nicholls’ Unioniste is the Oddsguru racing tip to land the spoils at Sandown.

After such an intense period of high class racing Saturday’s fare comes as something of an anticlimax. However the finale at Sandown, a class 2 handicap chase over 3ml 1/2f with a guaranteed pot of £50,000. Promises to be a highly competitive and interesting affair. Favourite backers should beware as the ” jolly ” has failed to hit the back of the net over the last decade. Weight has been significant in the same period with no animal carrying more than 11st 6lbs to victory. Age has not been significant, with 7yo’s to 11yo’s winning. No stable has dominated over the past ten years, but the currently high flying Venetia Williams has had a winner and a placed horse from only seven runners. Gary Moore’s only entry in the same period was placed and the Nicholls yard has managed two places from ten runners. Philip Hobbs has had two placed from only three runners. So what of this years renewal?

Having won last year with the 7yo Katenko, Venetia is going for the double with the 11yo veteran Relax. A course and distance winner last Febuary, following a nine month absence, he reappeared at Chepstow four weeks ago, and acquitted himself well, finishing fourth 15l behind Rebecca’s Choice. Now racing off a mark 2lbs lower than Chepstow he is well worth considering, particularly if conditions deteriorate as he handles testing going well.

Despite some indifferent jumping, Paul Nicholls 8yo Unioniste made a highly satisfactory reappearance in the Hennessy Gold Cup at the end of November. Considering he was struggling in last place after fourteen fences he did well to finish in sixth, running on strongly through beaten horses. As this was his first outing for nearly eight months considerable improvement can be expected. He has yet to win going right handed but there is no reason to think that he will be inconvenienced by Sandown. The handicapper has been generous in dropping him 3lbs since Newbury so it is not difficult to imagine him running on strongly up the Sandown hill, so definitley one for the short list.

Leading trainer at Sandown Nicky Henderson runs top weight Triolo D’Alene. He looked to be a chaser going places when winning two good races in April 2013 and was as short as 10/1 when running in the Gold Cup where he finished 10th. He got as far as Beechers the second time when pulled up in the National,and was diagnosed with a breathing problem. He again failed to complete on his reappearance in the Hennessy, but as it was his first run since Aintree perhaps he can be excused, and coming from this yard it would be no surprise to see this classy animal involved on Saturday.

Winner of his last two races Philip Hobbs’s Bertie Boru is of interest. He stayed on well in a truly run race at Newbury ( 2ml 6 1/2f sft ) to suggest that Saturday’s trip will be well within his compass. Relativley lightly raced, he has been raised 6lbs for his Newbury efforts,but this still leaves him with a nice racing weight of 10st7lbs. As all ground comes alike to him, and he is effective going right handed, his prospects of bringing up the treble on Saturday look rosy.

Bob Buckler’s 8yo Tinker Time is two from two over the larger obstacles. He ran a fine race on his reappearance ( his first run over fences ) to beat Bucks Magic, jumping well over Kempton’s tricky obstacles. He went on to surprise much better fancied opponents in a conditions race at Newbury sixteen days ago beating Masters Hill and Easter Day. The handicapper has raised him 11lbs but it is unlikely we have seen the best of this very progressive animal. ( Interestingly, the conditions of Saturday’s race state that a horse such as Tinker Time, who has competed in only two chases, in order to qualify to run, must have been placed in the first four in both races. )

Tom George’s ex Irish What’s Happening with his light weight of 10st3lbs is worth a second look . He ran well last time over 3ml 5 1/2f at Sandown finishing third. He probably didn’t quite stay that day and will be better suited by Saturday’s distance. A winner of two chases,both going right handed in his native country, the weekend test may well be right up his street.

Course and distance winner Firm Order is stepping up in class, but with only 10st2lbs to shoulder he must be considered. Last time out he stayed on well to beat the 13/8 fav Handy Andy over course and distance, and has only been raised 3lbs, so it would be no surprise to see him involved at the business end.

A reproduction of vino Griego’s Aintree form in April, when just run out of it by Duke of Lucca, with Unioniste back in eighth would give him every chance. However he ran so poorly in the Hennessy, despite his excellent trainers good Sandown record, is passed over.

Selection: Unioniste

E.W : What’s Happening

Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle Betting Tips Ascot

Nick Henderson race horse trainer.

Our racing guru fancies Nicky Henderson’s Sign of a Victory to go close in Saturday’s Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle.

Since its inception in 2001 there have been only nine renewals of this highly competitive race at its Ascot venue. It was abandoned in 2009 and 2010 due to snow, and was run elsewhere in 2004 and 2005 due to course redevelopment. Nicky Henderson has been the most successful trainer with three wins. Five year olds have been the winning most age group with five successes. Two six year olds, one seven year old, and one four year old have also hit the back of the net. This stat may be a little misleading as four year olds have been very much to the fore in recent runnings. The market hasn’t been a great guide with only one favourite (Henderson’s Jack The Giant 2007) obliging, and two 25/1 shots winning.

Harry Fry’s 4yo Activial leads the market at 5/1 having been backed in from twice these odds since last weekend. He was a convincing winner of the Adonis hurdle at Newbury last Febuary, but then disappointed in his next engagement at Aintree in April where he was probably unsuited by the sharp track. However the Newbury form has worked out well with the runner up Commissioned ( beaten 3 1/2L ) winning twice this season, achieving a rating of 140, making Activial’s Mark of 137 on Saturday, look rather generous. His lack of a recent pipe opener and indeed experience ( has had only 3 hurdle races), may count against him, but with the very talented Mr Fry in charge and carrying the nice racing weight of 10st10lbs he is short listed.

With his three previous winners Nicky Henderson certainly knows what is required, so his very promising 5yo Sign of a Victory is worth serious consideration. In only his fifth race over hurdles ( Ascot 2ml. Nov1 ) he came home on the bridle in what was a truly run race,of a mark of 139. He has been raised what appears a quite harsh 11lbs to 150 but it will be no surprise if he ends the season racing off a considerably higher mark. Ground conditions on Saturday are a concern as he had been an intended runner in the Fighting Fifth at Newcastle but was taken out because of the soft ground. However I can’t see Saturday’s likely gd/sft being a problem for this son of Kayf Tara out of a Bob Back mare, and unless conditions really deteriorate should have every chance.

Having performed with credit in a number of top handicaps Gordon Elliott’s 5yo Bayan is already a seasoned campaigner. He ran a great race to be third in the Coral Cup at the Festival, and improved again,coming second in the Galway Hurdle. However the handicapper has had his say and he is now 8lbs higher than Cheltenham. He probably needs testing conditions at two miles so if it does come up soft he is well worth a second look.

Dan Skelton’s 5yo Galileo gelding Shelford has won his last two races and is another who wouldn’t mind it testing on Saturday. Rated 89 on the flat he has made a highly successful transition to the winter game and was quite impressive in his first handicap ( 2 1/2 mls sft Chepstow ) at the end of October, where off a mark of 127 he made all and kept on very gamely to beat Aubusson by 3/4L. As the runner up went on to win the £80,000. Fixed Brush Hurdle at Haydock, Shelford’s 7lbs rise seems more than fair. He travels well in his races so it would be no surprise to see him leading the field over the last on Saturday.

Garde La Victoire and Clondaw Warrior are closely matched on Cheltenham form in November and the progressive Hobbs horse is fancied to come out on top again. Clondaw Warrior is 3lb better of for the 2L he was beaten but Garde La Victoire has the more progressive profile and indeed must have every chance of being involved at the business end.

Tony Martins 4yo Pyromaniac finished a well beaten 3rd at Cheltenham in November but had shown considerable potential in his previous two runs at Listowel and Killarney. Coming from this stable, this very lightly raced and unexposed animal could easily spring a surprise.

Jonjo O’Neill’s good flat horse Goodwood Mirage showed he was getting his act together when winning at Wetherby in October. Quietly fancied for the Triumph hurdle, he was brought down at the second and is definitely one to note if there is any market confidence.

Selection. Sign of a Victory.

E.W. Shelford.

Horseracing Betting Tips Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Cheltenham

From four course appearances the Malcolm Jefferson trained Attaglance has won once and been placed twice, so is of considerable interest.

From four course appearances the Malcolm Jefferson trained Attaglance has won once and been placed twice, so is of considerable interest.

Originally known as The Massey Ferguson Gold Cup. It was first run in 1963, and without doubt, it’s most famous winner was the awesome Flyingbolt, who won in 1965. Trained by the legendary Tom Dreaper, and ridden by Pat Taffe, and giving away at least 25lbs, to a field of top class handicappers, he annihilated the field, strolling home by 15L from Solbina with Scottish Memories third. As Scottish Memories had previously run the mighty Arkle close ( albeit receiving lumps of weight ) Flyingbolt ended the season rated within 1lb of the legend. While there is no Flyingbolt running on Saturday it has the look of a very competitive affair.

The Paul Nicholls trained Caid Du Berlais heads the market at 4/1. The 5yo Westerner gelding was something of a revelation, when under an inspired ride from Sam Twiston-Davies, he got up in the final strides to land the Paddy Power Gold Cup three weeks ago, beating Johns Spirit a hd. Racing there off a mark of 143 he was receiving 13lbs from the runner up who has declined a rematch, in favour of the King George V1 on Boxing Day. While the Paddy Power was a slowly run race on soft ground, and Saturday’s conditions promise to be quite different, Caid Du Berlais does look well treated off 148. He acheived a hurdles rating of 151, and may well be even better suited by Saturday’s likely conditions, so one for the short list.

From four course appearances the Malcolm Jefferson trained Attaglance has won once and been placed twice, so is of considerable interest. In last years Paddy Power, despite blundering at the last, he was a fine 4th to Johns Spirit receiving 2lbs, and further emphasised his affinity for the course when a very unlucky 2nd at the festival in March to Present View. Indeed a reproduction of that run would give him a great chance on Saturday.

David Bridgewater, with some justification, is very bullish about the chances of his young chaser No Buts. Already a much better chaser than hurdler he made his reappearance at Sandown at the beginning of November. In an intriguing race he finished 4th to the Nicholls horse Sound Investment, ( for whom there has been some support for Saturday ) with the Evan Williams trained Barrakilla in 3rd. Five and a half lengths behind Sound Investment at Sandown, No Buts emphatically reversed the form at Newbury three weeks later coming home 8L clear of the Nicholls animal. He is a rapidly improving horse who jumps well, so despite a 10lb rise must have a serious chance at the weekend.

Barrakilla definitley comes into the picture on his form with Sound Investment and No Buts in the Sandown race, as not only does he enjoy a considerable turn around in the weights but considerable improvement can be expected,as it was his first run for nearly 11 months. In his previous race, at Warwick ( always a good test of jumping ) he had comfortably seen off the very useful Presian Snow in only his third chase. He is another on an upward curve who looks well treated off 135 giving him a nice racing weight of 10st 12lbs.

Nicky Henderson’s Ericht, who won with Quantitive Easing in 2011 is worth a second look. He ran a solid race on his reappearance at the course in October finishing 3rd to John’s Spirit, and was going well enough in the Paddy Power, until making a mistake at the second last. However it does have to be said that none of his previous course appearances have suggested a particular aptitude for the place, and his overall record hints at a preference for a flat track.

Kim Bailey’s 8yo Darna, who has won four of his seven chase starts looks interesting. Having his first run for nearly two years he hosed up in a class 3 at Sedgefield three weeks ago of a mark of 134. With the stable enjoying such a good season this lightly raced animal may well have further improvement in him and it would be no surprise to see him involved at the business end.

Selection. Attaglance

E.W. Barrakilla

Becher Chase Betting Preview

Becher Chase Betting Preview

First run in 1992 the Becher Chase is contested over 3ml 2f of the Grand National course and competitors are faced with the challenge of clearing 21 of the famous fences. 

First run in 1992 the Becher Chase is contested over 3ml 2f of the Grand National course and competitors are faced with the challenge of clearing 21 of the famous fences. It serves as a trial for the main event in April with two Becher winners, Silver Birch and Amberleigh House going on to victory in the National. In recent years with a pot of around £150,000, it is a serious contest in its own rite and is always contested by a fiercely competitive field. It has not been a race for young inexperienced animals with only two 7yo’s, Indian Tonic (1993) trained by Nigel Twiston Davies, and Silver Birch (2004) trained by Paul Nicholls winning in its 21 year history. Age and experience is further emphasised when looking at the four most recent winners, two 9yo’s a 12yo, and a14yo.

Nigel Twiston-Davies ( most successful trainer in the contest, 5 wins ) saddles the lightly raced 9yo Ben Bens. He ran quite a promising race at Cheltenham three weeks ago where, racing off Saturday’s Mark of 134 he was a good second to Charingworth, to whom he was Conceeding 9lbs. With a nice racing weight of 10st 13lbs he does seem reasonably handicapped and with these connections is well worth considering.

Paul Nicholls, the second most successful ,( 3 winners since 2004 ) is represented by Just A Par and Mon Parrain at the time of writing, and the former would seem the more likely runner. He has been dissappointing since winning a gd 2 chase at Newbury (nov 2013) but has been keeping some pretty hot company. It would’nt be the biggest surprise to see the Nicholls Magic touch bringing about a revival.

Irish horses have won two of the last ten runnings ( both trained by the late lamented Dessie Hughes ) and are represented this year by Balbriggan and Goonyella . Balbriggan, now in the care of the Irish maestro Gordon Elliott made all when winning the valuable Troytown chase at stamina sapping Navan two weeks ago. Having trained a Grand National winner, ( Silver Birch ) his very talented trainer knows what is required and it is not hard to envisage Balbriggan with only 10st 9lbs on his back setting out to make all. Gonnyella has won two of his nine chases and ran well in last years Irish National finishing seventh. He seems particularly effective on heavy ground and looks the type who might enjoy the Aintree fences.

With the stable in such devastating form last years winner Chace Du Roy must be considered. He loves Aintree having finished 2nd in the Topham and 6th in the National. He is only 6lbs higher than last year and as he won first time up last year he must have a serious chance of a repeat on what are likely to be similar ground conditions.

Having won his first three chases Lucinda Russell’s young chaser Green Flag was Stepped up in class at Kempton last December and ran a very promising race finishing second to the very useful Annacotty. He then ran well at the Cheltenham festival where despite appearing to have no chance at the third last he stayed on to be a respectable fourth behind the much vaunted Hollywell. Put away after his 6th in the Scottish National ( did’nt appear to stay ) he made a promising return 7 months later at Carlisle finishing 4th to subsequent Hennessy winner Many Clouds. His mark of 142 on Saturday seems well within his compass and is one for the short list.

David Pipe’s Our Father only got to the canal turn on his first attempt at the Nationl but may have been unlucky to unseat. He is a horse who is undoubtedly at his best first time out and on some of his earlier form he looks very well handicapped off a mark of 136. If he does indeed handle the fences he must have a serious chance of giving his trainer his first success in the race.

Richard Lee’s 9yo Knock a Hand looked promising on his reappearance at Bangor three weeks ago. He probably needed the race when just losing second place on the line in a cl2 chase and racing off the same mark on Saturday could go well.

Emma Lavelle’s Highland Lodge is racing off 132, 7lbs below his hurdles rating, and this would look very generous indeed if repeating his run in last years Hennessy where he finished 4th off a mark of 143. Things have not worked out since but he put up a respectable performance on his reappearance when 5th in a cl2 chase at Chepstow in October and is another to consider in such an open looking contest.

Across the Bay was going great guns out in front in the National until carried wide by a loose horse at the 16th. He is racing here off a mark 4lbs lower and would be worth considering except for the poor form of the Mc Cain stable.

Selection.Our Father.

E.W. Highland Lodge.