Ayr Gold Betting Tips: The Ayr Gold Cup first held in 1804 was run over a distance of 2m. Reduced to 1m in 1855 it became a handicap in 1870 and was finally cut to its present distance of 6f in 1908.
The last Scottish winner of the race was the giant Roman Warrior, trained by Nigel Angus,he shouldered a still standing record 10st to victory in 1975. Dandy Nicholls has a fantastic record in the race having won six times in the last twenty years, most recently with Regal Parade in 2008.
The trainer to note in more recent runnings has been Kevin Ryan responsible for three of the last seven winners. Market leaders have a particularly poor record with the last jolly obliging eighteen years ago when David Baron’s Coastal Bluff won at 3/1.
Quality counts with five of the last seven winners rated 100 or more. Winners can come from high middle or low and it is worth noting that the preceding Ayr silver Cup has not really been of great value in assessing any particular draw bias on the day.
The all conquering David O’Meara has the favourite Watchable. A very likeable type he was impressive last time out. Having only his seventh outing, racing off a mark of 98 he was asked for his effort too early at the Curragh last Sunday but held on to pocket the £75,000 first prize. While Saturday’s race may come a bit soon, off only 5lbs higher and coming from this stable his chance must be respected.
Richard Hannon whose father won the race twice has a very strong contender in Ninjago. A hold up horse he ran a fine race in the Stewards cup at Goodwood when 1L second to Intrinsic with the Richard Fahey trained Alben Star a neck back in third. Ninjago who will be ridden by the very promising apprentice Cam Hardie, who claims a very useful 5lbs, meets Alben Star on 2lbs better terms than at Goodwood and given the usual caveats must have a great chance on Saturday .
Richard Fahey’s Eastern Impact looks interesting. He was beaten by the proverbial whisker in a nineteen runner handicap at Newmarket in July when getting the worst of the draw off a mark of 96. Raised to 100 he went one better in a cl 2 handicap again at Newmarket. Kept fresh for this he is clearly a very progressive animal and off a mark of 105 on Saturday he is definitley one for the short list.
Kevin Ryan’s Blaine disappointed in the Steward’s Cup but redeemed himself at York when under an inspired ride from Kevin’s daughter Amy he got up in the shadow of the post to win off a mark of 100. Racing off the same mark on Saturday he is worth considering but he does seem to reserve his best for York.
James Tate’s very well bred entire 5yo Ruwaiyan is worth a second look. By Cape Cross out of a Saddlers Wells mare he has done his winning at 7F. However he has run some fine races at 6F notably when fourth in the Steward’s Cup 3/4L and a neck behind Ninjago and Alpen Star where he finished very strongly.
While he disappointed in his next two runs it is worth bearing in mind that an ability to stay beyond 6F has featured in the C.V. Of many previous winners. Saturday’s race may well suit and he is worth considering.
While the Dandy Nicholls trained Funfair Wane won the race twice in 2002 and 2004 there has been no back to back winner since Heronslea in 1930 and 1931. This would seem a major negative for last years winner Highland Colori but it’s worth noting that he is racing off a mark 1lb lower than last year and his last run was quite promising. His chance would certainly be enhanced by any rain between now and Saturday.
Selection. Eastern Impact.